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September – Is It Really a Bull Run or Just Hype? Here Is What I Observed
Currently, the market is abuzz because September is approaching. Everyone is talking about the possibility of a bull run this month, especially after Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at the possibility of cutting down the whales. Just that one statement alone is enough to change market sentiment, and traders quickly priced in the possibility of cuts at the upcoming Fed meeting. This immediately creates an atmosphere of excitement, both in the stock market and in cryptocurrency. But behind this excitement, there is much more. The inflow of funds into ETFs, especially Bitcoin and Ethereum, is starting to show signs of stabilizing again. This indicates that large institutions are gradually returning, although not very strongly yet. However, history also shows that September is not a calm period at all - it is one of the most volatile phases of the market. The "whales" are moving large amounts of assets between wallets and exchanges, a sign that significant fluctuations may be about to occur. In my observation, I will not chase the idea of a "bull run in September" as if it is certain to happen. If the Fed cuts rates, that is definitely a positive signal, but September can "handle" impatient traders just as quickly as it rewards those who are willing to wait. If the policy changes, the market will experience rallies, but also many "shakeouts" – temporary shocks to weed out the weak-hearted. Therefore, my strategy is to focus on holding strong positions in the spot market and patiently wait, rather than jumping into risky leveraged trading while the whales are playing big. In summary, September may be bullish – but not the "straight up" that everyone hopes for. The market is building up energy, but it is also full of traps. The key is to maintain patience while others get caught up in the noise.