Chainalysis 预测稳定币年交易量 2035 年将达 1500 万亿美元

Gate News 消息,4 月 8 日,区块链分析公司 Chainalysis 发布报告称,稳定币在 2025 年处理了 28 万亿美元的实际经济活动,过去三年的复合年增长率达 133%。若维持该增长基线,到 2035 年交易量可达 719 万亿美元。报告进一步纳入两项宏观因素后,将预测上调至 1500 万亿美元。第一项因素为代际财富转移,2028 年至 2048 年间约 100 万亿美元将从婴儿潮一代转移至千禧一代和 Z 世代,Chainalysis 估算仅此一项即可为 2035 年稳定币年交易量增加 508 万亿美元。第二项因素为基础设施扩展,稳定币支付接入线下商户和电商的销售终端,预计可额外增加 232 万亿美元年交易量。报告指出,若该预测实现,稳定币交易量将超过全球房地产、上市股票及政府债券的总价值,交易笔数到 2030 年代中期可与 Visa 和 Mastercard 持平。渣打银行此前估计稳定币市值到 2028 年将增长至 2 万亿美元,目前稳定币总市值约为 3170 亿美元。报告同时指出,该预测基于较为激进的假设,包括年轻一代将大量使用稳定币进行日常支付,以及 133% 的年增长率能维持十年。

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