某历史预测 11 连胜地址投入 4 万美元,押注美伊不会在 4.15 前停火

Gate News 消息,3 月 19 日,据 PolyBeats 监测,在预测市场 Polymarket 上,过去一日内,一个在伊朗事件历史预测中 11 次全胜的地址投入 4 万美元,在「美伊是否会在 4.15 前停火」事件中买入「否」,目前该事件「否」的概率为 80%。

今日,特朗普警告伊朗不要再攻击卡塔尔,否则美方将对伊朗相关资产作出更重回应。有消息人士称,特朗普正在权衡对伊朗的进一步措施,其政府正考虑向中东增派千名美军。

根据该交易者过往交易画像判断,该交易者并非单纯押注事件是否实际发生,存在开仓后在某一时间点止盈、止损的行为。

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