美智库:美国对伊朗打击或仅剩数周,以色列将接棒长期行动

Gate News 消息,3 月 19 日,据美国战略与国际研究中心专家塞思·G·琼斯分析,美国对伊朗的直接军事打击阶段可能仅能维持「几天或几周」,主要受制于远程打击与防御弹药库存不足。该专家指出,在最新一轮打击前,美国关键弹药储备已处于紧张状态,这将迫使唐纳德·特朗普政府缩减军事行动规模。不过,即便美国逐步收手,以色列预计仍将持续对伊朗进行周期性打击,类似其在黎巴嫩针对武装组织的长期军事策略。琼斯认为,当前阶段冲突若结束,或有助于缓解霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势并推动油价回落,但航运恢复仍取决于后续外交谈判进展。

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