曾预测特朗普胜选获利190万美元的交易员投入42.5万美元押注俄乌今年停火

Gate News 消息,3月18日,预测市场上一位曾成功预测特朗普当选美国总统并获利190万美元的交易员,投入42.5万美元押注俄乌将于2027年前停火,目前该事件发生概率为36%。该交易员在社交平台发文表示:"乌克兰战争显然即将结束……俄罗斯和美国结束战争的共同意愿很难阻挡。当俄罗斯人开始切断基辅的电力时,他们变得极其有效率,且制裁俄罗斯能源的代价刚刚变得更高。37美分押注的停火价格非常便宜。"为缓解近期中东局势升级、油价飙升带来的经济压力,美国政府已开始放宽对俄罗斯能源出口的部分制裁。俄罗斯近期加大了对乌克兰关键能源基础设施的打击力度,导致基辅等地出现大规模停电。乌克兰方面对美国放宽制裁的举动表达了抗议,并重申不会以领土妥协换取停火。欧盟内部对此存在分歧,部分国家担忧美国战略重心转移将把援乌的财政与军事重担完全推给欧洲。注:根据其过往交易画像判断,该交易者并非押注事件是否实际发生,存在开仓后在某一时间点止盈、止损的行为。账户地址:0xd7f85d0eb0fe0732ca38d9107ad0d4d01b1289e4。

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