彭博调查:经济学家预计美联储年内降息两次,近三分之一对沃什表达担忧

Gate News 消息,3 月 13 日,根据彭博社调查,经济学家已将对美联储下一次降息时间的预期从 3 月推迟至 6 月,但仍预计今年年底前将进行两次各 25 个基点的降息。接受调查的 46 位经济学家预计的降息节奏快于期货市场当前定价的路径,也比美联储官员去年 12 月的中位预测多出一次降息。在受访经济学家中,近三分之一对由特朗普提名的主席人选凯文·沃什表示担忧。当被问及是否认为沃什会致力于实现美联储 2% 的通胀目标时,13% 表示不确定,18% 回答"不会"。在去年 12 月的调查中,经济学家预计美联储将在 3 月和 9 月降息,而在 3 月 6 日至 11 日(中东冲突爆发后)进行的调查中,受访者预计降息时间将为 6 月和 10 月。调查中位数显示,经济学家预计利率在今年年底将处于 3% 至 3.25% 区间。

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