3个高盈利账户投入1.33万美元,押注以色列将于本月在黎巴嫩发动大规模地面攻势

Gate News 消息,3 月 12 日,某预测市场平台数据显示,3 个通过本轮伊朗冲突赚取了其总利润 70% 以上的账户合计投入 1.33 万美元,买入「以色列将在 3 月 31 日前对黎巴嫩发动大规模地面攻势」选项。目前该选项的概率为 68.5%。

在美以联合对伊朗实施大规模斩首打击后,以色列国内强硬派军方认为当前是趁机肃清黎巴嫩真主党前沿武装的最佳战略窗口。然而,随着特朗普近期正极力宣扬「军事行动已达预期」,试图平抑油价并为中东局势降温,美国极度抗拒被卷入一场旷日持久的黎巴嫩山区治安战。其次,以色列国防军在加沙地带的持续行动已消耗大量资源,此时若在北部强行开辟第二地面战场,其兵力调度、后勤弹药以及伤亡承受能力都将面临考验。

根据其过往交易画像判断,该交易者并非押注事件是否实际发生,存在开仓后在某一时间点止盈、止损的行为。

相关账户地址:0x2c55621871b5cedb336bc509dd93e61568f6dbb9、0xdbedc5ab35d896d3226c6ea5e1708dfc631f10f7、0x6062830c5a8a453cb57048da505234aaca304084。

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