中东板块70%胜率地址4900美元押注特朗普5月前宣布停止对伊军事行动

Gate News 消息,3 月 12 日,预测市场 Polymarket 数据显示,过去十二小时,一个在中东板块拥有 70% 胜率的地址以 4900 美元押注「特朗普会在 5 月前宣布停止对伊军事行动」,开仓均价 77.7¢,现价 77¢。

该盘口结算依据为特朗普、美国政府或军方公开且正式宣布结束针对伊朗的军事行动,无需伊朗、以色列等其他方面的承认。

特朗普总统再次表示,战争将「很快」结束,具体结束时间由他决定。与此同时,伊朗声称已准备好打一场「长期消耗战,这场战争将摧毁整个美国经济」,并警告将开始袭击中东地区与美国有关联的银行。伊朗对中东地区的物资供应和基础设施发动新的袭击,盖过了美国和国际能源署释放石油库存的利好消息,油价因此飙升。

根据该交易者过往交易画像判断,其并非押注事件是否实际发生,存在开仓后在某一时间点止盈、止损的行为。账户地址:0x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a。

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