Polymarket预测市场单一账户投入5800美元,推动特定选项概率从4%飙升至88%

Gate News消息,3月11日,Polymarket预测市场上,过去1小时内一个账户投入5800美元买入「加密支付卡累计交易量在3月31日前突破15亿美元」选项。受此单笔大额资金直接驱动,该选项概率在1小时内从4%飙升至目前的88%。

根据结算规则,该预测市场的数据判定标准为PaymentScan平台统计的「加密支付卡累计交易量」。如果在美东时间3月31日23:59前,该图表显示的累计交易总额达到或超过15亿美元,预测市场即结算为「是」。

促使资金突袭并导致概率暴涨的根本原因疑似缘于PaymentScan将加密支付卡项目RedotPay的相关数据接入其统计体系。这一新增数据源导致平台上记录的累计交易量从原先的10亿美元左右,陡增至目前的14.56亿美元,已接近预测市场设定的15亿美元结算门槛。

该账户地址为:0xe39783f92ee0985f1ab5fe514030f946825abfcb。

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