Meinung: Incentivierte DeFi wird im Jahr 2026 verschwinden

GateNews

2026-01-17 08:36:10

Odaily星球日报讯 Eli5DeFi 在 X 平台发文表示，以激励驱动的 DeFi 模式将在 2026 年消失。DeFi 协议在激励结束时流失用户，本质是因为风险调整后的回报回归至真实水平。激励阶段的锁仓价值（TVL）增长往往反映的是受补贴的参与行为，而非持久的使用需求或手续费收入。

其指出，“租用流动性”模式存在三个阶段：激励期通过高排放补偿风险吸引资金；常态化期激励减少，真实收益显现；撤离期资金在回报常态化后重新计算成本并退出。留存率崩塌的原因在于激励暂时掩盖了结构性弱点，包括受补贴的无常损失风险、收益本质是营销支出而非收入、需求高度内化以及高昂的摩擦成本。

Eli5DeFi 认为，只有在激励常态化后经济模型依然有效，留存率才能提升。协议必须解决无常损失和本金风险，使收益锚定真实需求而非代币通胀，并通过扩展生态系统增加收入来源。未来的 DeFi 应根据可持续收入、资本效率以及风险调整后的回报进行评估。

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