#比特币站上七万美元 Bitcoin is currently in a corrective rebound phase following a mid-bear downtrend at the weekly level, with key support at 63K, a critical support zone between 60-65K, and a recovery target near the MA14 78.5K level. The mid-term bearish trend has not yet reversed.

Short to mid-term moving averages (MA7/14/30) continue to trend downward, particularly the MA14, which has suppressed price bounces and initiated new downtrends throughout the decline, serving as an important reference line for price recovery. The long-term MA180 is a critical support lifeline for current market conditions.

Trading volume expanded during the earlier decline and shows moderate volume during recent rebounds, indicating that buying pressure remains tentative and has not yet formed trend-driving strength. The MACD indicator is positioned below the 0 axis and diverging downward. While the fast line shows signs of turning and compression, bearish momentum is waning but no clear golden cross signal has emerged yet—the mid-term trend remains bearish. This week, key focus is on the 78-80K resistance zone above and the 70-68K support zone below. At the daily level, seven consecutive small positive candles are gradually emerging from a small-level rebound channel, currently standing above short to mid-term (MA7/14/30) averages, with the short-term trend shifting from bearish to bullish. Support below at 70K (MA7/14 average convergence with recent lows), resistance above at 75K (previous small platform) and 80K (MA90 resistance).

Trading volume has moderately increased during the recent rebound, with improved buying support strength and no obvious sharp volume surge followed by pullback. The MACD fast line has broken through the 0 axis and continues extending upward, with histogram bars in positive territory showing modest expansion, indicating strengthening short-term bullish momentum.

At the daily level, price has entered a short-term rebound trend with gradually recovering bullish strength, though overhead resistance remains dense, making the rebound rhythm likely to be dominated by oscillating upward movement.

Weekly outlook: Combining convergence signals from both weekly and daily levels, this week is likely to see oscillating upward movement, with price ranging and consolidating at 75-78K before attempting to probe the 78-80K resistance zone. If subsequent volume fails to expand in line with price gains, or if geopolitical conflicts escalate and the Federal Reserve signals hawkish policy, this rebound cycle may end.