Today, BTC is still generally showing a strong oscillation. The current price is around $74,901, with an intraday range of $73,606–$75,218, indicating that the bulls are still maintaining an advantage, but there is also beginning to be some consolidation at higher levels.

The core driver behind this relatively strong movement is still the easing of external risk expectations. The main theme from Reuters today is: the market is trading on the possibility of US-Iran dialogue resuming, oil prices falling for the second consecutive day, and the US dollar approaching a six-week low, leading to a rebound in global risk appetite; this is clearly favorable for high-volatility assets like BTC.

However, this situation shouldn't be simply regarded as a "mindless one-way rally." Reuters also emphasizes that disruptions related to the Hormuz Strait have not been fully resolved, and geopolitical tensions still have room to fluctuate; Federal Reserve official Musalem also stated that oil price shocks could keep core inflation near 3% for the remaining time in 2026, and support maintaining the policy rate at 3.50%–3.75% for longer, with the possibility of rate hikes if necessary. This background will limit the upward slope for BTC.

Therefore, today's trading ideas are:
1) Preferred: Buy on dip
Look at the $74,200–$74,500 range.
Set stop-loss below $73,900.
Target first at $75,200, then at $75,800.

2) Safer: Deep dip buy
Look at the $73,700–$74,000 range.
Set stop-loss below $73,300.
Target at $74,900, then at $75,500.

3) Strong: Breakout buy
Only buy if above $75,250 and it holds steady.
Set stop-loss below $74,850.
Target at $75,800, then at $76,500. #比特币btc##CryptoCircle