3/25 Bitcoin Market Analysis

As shown in the chart, if BTC's 67,360 on 3.23 serves as the phase low point, there is a high probability of a subsequent high point exceeding 76,000, with 79,000-80,000 as a possible target level. Key focus should be on the price reaction when BTC runs through the week of 4.1. According to the script, the highest point of the 4.1 weekly K-line will be the rebound endpoint for BTC's rally from 60,000, after which BTC will accelerate downward.

The difference between the red and blue scenarios lies only in whether there will be another low point below 67,360. The longer the uptrend duration from 67,360 and the larger the amplitude, the higher the probability of the red scenario. If no new low below 67,360 appears within 3.27-3.29, the probability of the blue scenario will decline infinitely toward zero.