#NasdaqEntersPredictionMarkets


Nasdaq has officially entered the realm of prediction markets. Through an application to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), it plans to offer binary options linked to the Nasdaq-100 index and the Nasdaq-100 Micro index. These products, called "Outcome Related Options," are priced between $0.01 and $1. Investors will be able to bet on whether a specific event will occur, taking a "yes" or "no" position. The contracts will be valued to reflect the market's probability of the outcome occurring and will be cash-settled. Nasdaq's move represents the entry of one of Wall Street's biggest players into the rapidly growing prediction markets sector. While platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket previously offered similar products under CFTC regulation, Nasdaq is now operating under SEC framework. This situation also brings the debate over the division of authority between regulators back to the forefront. The application was submitted on March 2, 2026, and if approved, it would mark Nasdaq's first foray into prediction markets. The company aims to offer investors a simple and direct tool for speculating on index movements with these products. Market participants expect a more accessible and cost-effective structure compared to traditional options. Prediction markets have been gaining attention since 2025, particularly with event-based betting. Nasdaq's entry is seen as a strong indication that this trend will become more integrated into mainstream financial markets. The approval process will be closely monitored in the coming period.
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