The Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates in March, with a probability of over 95%
CME data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady in March is over 95%, making a rate cut essentially unlikely, with only a 3%-6% chance of a 25 basis point cut. The reason is that US inflation remains relatively high, and employment data is solid, so the Federal Reserve currently has no reason to cut rates. Upcoming expectations: April: approximately 22% chance of a rate cut June: the probability of a rate cut rises to 44%, with market still divided Overall, the Federal Reserve is likely to continue observing and maintain high interest rates for some time.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
The Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates in March, with a probability of over 95%
CME data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady in March is over 95%, making a rate cut essentially unlikely, with only a 3%-6% chance of a 25 basis point cut.
The reason is that US inflation remains relatively high, and employment data is solid, so the Federal Reserve currently has no reason to cut rates.
Upcoming expectations:
April: approximately 22% chance of a rate cut
June: the probability of a rate cut rises to 44%, with market still divided
Overall, the Federal Reserve is likely to continue observing and maintain high interest rates for some time.