Bitcoin: Early Stress or Extended Cycle Risk?

$BTC just closed its sixth consecutive red week — a streak that naturally shifts sentiment toward expecting more downside.
But prolonged declines rarely move in a straight line.
In 2022, Bitcoin printed nine straight red weeks, followed by a rebound that looked like a reversal — but was only a pause before another major leg lower. That bear phase lasted ~32 weeks with a ~74% drawdown, unfolding gradually and draining liquidity step by step.
This cycle is different in pace: • ~21 weeks in
• ~50%+ retrace from the peak
• Faster downside compression so far
Bear markets usually evolve like this:
Sharp drop → relief bounce → redistribution → renewed weakness → stabilization
Temporary recoveries often appear before the real bottom forms.
The key question isn’t “Is the bottom in?”
It’s where we are in the broader cycle structure.
Context drives risk management.
Patience protects capital.