It took ~30 months for Bitcoin Bitcoin to break into a new ATH after 2021.
If history rhymes, $120K may not come until 2027–2028. Here’s the structure: 1️⃣ First Top → Shock 2021 & 2024: Overheated momentum, stretched RSI, sharp reset. Vertical moves always cool off. 2️⃣ Second Top → Distribution Oct 2021 & Oct 2025: Higher price, weaker momentum. Divergence. Rejection. Slow bleed. 3️⃣ Boring Base Post-top compression. RSI resets. Price hovers near prior ATH instead of collapsing. This is where cycles rebuild. The 30-Month Rule: 2021 peak → 2024 breakout = ~30 months. Mirror that from Oct 2025 → real expansion likely 2027–2028. Every cycle: Euphoria → Double top → Red weeks → Reset → Base → Delayed expansion. If this cycle isn’t different, patience now = expansion later.
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It took ~30 months for Bitcoin Bitcoin to break into a new ATH after 2021.
If history rhymes, $120K may not come until 2027–2028.
Here’s the structure:
1️⃣ First Top → Shock
2021 & 2024: Overheated momentum, stretched RSI, sharp reset.
Vertical moves always cool off.
2️⃣ Second Top → Distribution
Oct 2021 & Oct 2025: Higher price, weaker momentum.
Divergence. Rejection. Slow bleed.
3️⃣ Boring Base
Post-top compression. RSI resets.
Price hovers near prior ATH instead of collapsing.
This is where cycles rebuild.
The 30-Month Rule:
2021 peak → 2024 breakout = ~30 months.
Mirror that from Oct 2025 → real expansion likely 2027–2028.
Every cycle:
Euphoria → Double top → Red weeks → Reset → Base → Delayed expansion.
If this cycle isn’t different, patience now = expansion later.