XRP and Its 173-Day Cycle: An Exact Market Replica or Simply Repeating History?

The cryptocurrency market has a fascinating characteristic: technical patterns tend to repeat themselves with remarkably precise accuracy. And in the case of XRP, analysts have identified something we cannot ignore: a cycle of exactly 173 days that seems to be repeating itself once again. From the peak recorded in July 2025 until today, those same 173 days have passed, marking the previous major surge.

The Compressing Technical Structure: When Patience Precedes the Explosion

XRP is currently in a technical consolidation phase known as a “descending wedge,” the same formation that preceded its massive expansion one cycle ago. Although the price has experienced considerable selling pressure, resistance remains firm around $1.59, compressing into increasingly narrower ranges.

What’s interesting is that this late-stage compression follows the same pattern we saw years ago. Imagine a spring under tension: the more it compresses, the more potential energy it stores. That is exactly XRP’s current situation. Trading volume, although lower compared to historical cycles of $1.8 billion, is around $137.87 million in 24 hours, remaining functional for the development of the technical move.

Mirroring the Past: What Does Technical History Tell Us?

Analysts like “Bird” have pointed out that this current scenario is almost a replica of the movements prior to the big jump. The 173-day cycle is no coincidence but an expression of the natural rhythm of cryptocurrency markets. If this structure continues to mirror the historical pattern, the immediate target is between $3.65 and $4.50, representing an appreciation of over 113% from current levels.

Some analysts like “Steph is Crypto” go further and draw parallels with the legendary 2017 cycle. In that extreme scenario, which remains a theoretical possibility rather than a central forecast, prices could project significantly higher. However, it’s important to keep perspective: that would be a very aggressive and speculative development.

Realistic Targets and Scenarios on the Horizon

The current XRP price hovers around $1.59, with a previous all-time high of $3.65. The most probable technical target, based on the repetition of the 173-day pattern, is to reach the $4 to $4.50 range in the short term.

• Primary target: $4.00 - $4.50 (approximately 150-185% gain)
• Historical reference: previous ATH of $3.65
• Extreme speculative scenario: much higher levels (not the main forecast)

Market Signals vs. Current Risks

The chart structure is clear: XRP isn’t sleeping; it’s building momentum in the quiet of a well-defined consolidation. The reduced volume can be interpreted in two ways: either demand is warming up or we are simply in a waiting phase.

However, there are risks that should not be underestimated. The overall crypto market sentiment can shift, and any regulatory news could impact the technical development. Additionally, while patterns tend to repeat, they never do so exactly the same way.

The Cycle Continues: Is This the Moment?

XRP has demonstrated the ability to maintain a solid technical structure even under pressure. The 173-day cycle seems to be heading toward a critical point similar to previous periods. If history continues to mirror its past pattern, we would be positioned on the brink of a significant move.

The question remaining in the air is whether the market will follow the script suggested by technicals or present an unexpected turn. For now, the structure remains intact, and analysts are watching closely for XRP’s next move.