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From "Absurd" to "Highly Likely," Trump's Greenland Plan Sparks Hot Prediction Market Frenzy
On Polymarket, the question "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?" has 19% of participants believing it will happen. Compared to the initial skepticism, this percentage has significantly increased, with total bets reaching $17 million.
On Kalshi, the timeline is longer. For the question "Will Trump purchase part of Greenland before 2029?" more than 44% of the market bets believe it will happen, with total bets approaching $4 million.
Against the backdrop of ongoing macro risks and rising risk aversion, Trump's statements regarding Greenland have begun to enter the prediction market's trading view, with some funds including it in their betting scope. The market no longer considers this entirely impossible but is starting to leave room for this possibility.
#特朗普 #Greenland #Greenland #Prediction Market #Polymarket #Kalshi #Geopolitics