January 15 BTC Core Conclusion: Short-term oscillation leaning bullish, rely on 95000-94500 support for low buy, short sell opportunistically in the 98000-99000 resistance zone, strictly control position size and stop-loss.

I. Key Indicators and Structure (January 15)

- Price Performance: Daily high 97924, low 94400, before press release approximately 96800, oscillating within 95000-98000 zone.
- Moving Averages and Trend: Daily chart above EMA30 (93006), EMA120 (91126); 4-hour EMA7/30 golden cross but bullish momentum weakening.
- Indicator Signals: Daily RSI(14)≈68.57, approaching overbought; daily MACD continues expanding, 4-hour MACD histogram shrinking, bullish momentum slowing.
- Key Levels: Support at 95000-94500, 93400; Resistance at 97000-98000, 99000-99500.

II. Executable Trading Strategies

- Low Buy Strategy (Conservative)
- Entry: Stabilize after pullback to 95000-94500, small position attempt long.
- Stop-Loss: Below 94000, risk per trade ≤ 2% of total capital.
- Targets: T1 97000, T2 98000, break below to watch 99000-100000.
- Short Sell Strategy (Aggressive)
- Entry: Resistance at 98000-99000, pullback, light position attempt short.
- Stop-Loss: Above 99500, risk per trade ≤ 1% of total capital.
- Targets: T1 97000, T2 96000, break below to watch 95000.
- Breakout Response
- Break below 94000: close long positions, wait or rebound near 95000 to add short, target 93400.
- Break above 99000: stop short, follow the trend to buy on pullback near 98000, target 100000 round number.

III. Risk Control Points

- Position Size: Long ≤ 30%, Short ≤ 15%, avoid heavy positions chasing highs.
- Stop-Loss: Enforce strictly, trailing stop-loss can be moved to break-even after price surpasses T1.
- Rhythm: Reduce positions and observe when 4-hour divergence or volume decline appears.