Attention everyone! Tomorrow could be the most critical day since 2026. It’s not about a surge or crash in the market, but an event that could trigger a collective shock across global markets—the U.S. Supreme Court will rule on Trump’s tariff policy, with industry rumors suggesting a 76% probability of an illegal ruling.

You may have already seen many voices shouting "Bullish signals, time to increase holdings." But I advise everyone to stay calm. On the surface, this issue appears to be a trade policy matter, but in reality, it involves the stability of the entire U.S. fiscal system.

First, the data: if the Supreme Court rules the tariffs illegal, the U.S. Treasury may need to pay hundreds of billions in direct compensation. But that’s just the tip of the iceberg. The hidden costs related to industry chain investments, supply chain adjustments, and other factors could total up to trillions in losses. Where will this money come from? There are only two options: either the Treasury issues bonds to finance it, or it tightens liquidity. Both choices will exert pressure on the entire market.

Many believe that resolving the tariff issue would be positive for the crypto market because the economy would run smoothly. This logic seems reasonable, but it overlooks a core fact: the crypto market is essentially a barometer of global liquidity. When the U.S. Treasury needs large amounts of funds to fill gaps, where will the money flow out from? Traditional markets like stocks and bonds will be the first to come under pressure, and crypto assets will also find it hard to remain unaffected. Historical data has long proven this.

Therefore, the key issue this time is not the economic impact of the tariffs themselves, but the potential liquidity contraction they may trigger. This is the risk point that warrants close attention.