2026年美联储宽松周期或推高美元流动性，比特币能否乘势而上？

2026-01-15 03:44:10

【链文】美联储资产负债表扩张的预期正在浮现。一旦联邦基金利率继续走低、银行贷款和抵押贷款利率随之下行，美元流动性在2026年有望迎来明显增长。这背后的逻辑不复杂——更多流动性流入市场，风险资产往往会受益。比特币作为风险资产的代表，在这样的环境下往往会跟风上涨。当然，这种预测基于宏观政策环境的假设，实际情况还要看央行真实政策走向。不过从历史规律看，流动性充裕阶段确实容易推高加密市场热度。

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zkProofInThePudding

· 4h ago

Nobody can predict what will happen in 2026 anyway. As long as interest rates go down, the crypto world will be excited. Sometimes, historical patterns are just nonsense.

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MetaverseMortgage

· 12h ago

Liquidity games are back again. Will 2026 really see a loosening? It feels like every time it's said, but in the end, it's still up to the Fed's mood.

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ProveMyZK

· 12h ago

Damn, I have to wait another two years until 2026? I want liquidity right now, brother.

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AirdropHunterWang

· 12h ago

Talking about 2026 again? We're not even there yet, haha. But liquidity is indeed a catalyst for BTC, something proven by history. The key still depends on whether the Fed will actually take such actions; there are too many armchair predictions.

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LayerZeroJunkie

· 12h ago

The idea of liquidity flooding has been heard too many times. The key is whether the Federal Reserve will actually do it... 2026 is too far away. I just want to know what will happen in Q1 next year.

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