When it comes to contract trading in the crypto space, why do some people keep losing repeatedly? The reason is actually quite painful—placing orders based on feelings, lacking a trading system, and following the herd mentality. Ironically, not losing would be a miracle in itself.



Over the years, I’ve stepped on many pits and finally developed a set of fairly reliable methodologies. These 7 iron rules are all lessons learned the hard way with real money. Following this approach can help you avoid more than half of the detours.

**The first is about capital allocation.** Divide your funds into 5 parts, and only use 1/5 for each position. Set a stop-loss at 10 points. What’s the benefit of doing this? If you make a mistake once, you only lose at most 2% of your total capital. Even if you hit the stop-loss five times in a row, your total loss remains within 10%. Conversely, take profits more aggressively—consider taking profits after a 10-point gain or more. This fundamentally helps avoid getting stuck in a deadlock.

**Following the trend is the easiest to overlook.** In a declining market, rebounds are often manipulated by the main players to induce buying. It looks like a quick rise, but it’s actually a trap; on the other hand, pullbacks in an uptrend are real buying opportunities. Instead of blindly bottom-fishing, wait for a low-price area with volume before buying. This greatly increases your success rate.

**Stay far away from coins that surge wildly in the short term.** Whether it’s top-tier coins like BTC and ETH or new tokens, after a rapid increase in a short period, it’s hard for the trend to continue. They often get stuck at high levels, then start a downward slide. Betting on such行情 is just giving away money.

**The MACD indicator can help confirm entry and exit points.** When DIF and DEA form a golden cross below the zero line and then break above zero, it’s a relatively safe signal to build a position; if a death cross occurs above the zero line, it’s time to cut losses or exit decisively.

**Volume and price movement are the soul of trading.** When volume surges during consolidation at low levels, it’s a signal worth following. But if volume surges at high levels and the price is still stagnant, run quickly—this is usually a sign of distribution.

**Trading only in uptrends is the simplest approach.** When the 3-day moving average is rising, there’s a short-term opportunity; when the 30-day is rising, a medium-term trend is forming; when the 84-day is rising, it’s the start of a major upward wave; and when the 120-day is rising, it’s suitable for long-term positioning. Operating according to this logic increases your chances of winning and reduces the need for constant adjustments.

**The last point: review your trades weekly.** Check whether your position logic still holds up, compare the weekly K-line trend with your initial judgment, and adjust your strategy in time. This can effectively prevent passive follow-the-market hype.
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GateUser-3824aa38vip
· 01-12 16:50
That's right, you need a system, or you're just giving away money.
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SlowLearnerWangvip
· 01-12 16:48
You're all right, but I only start losing money after I finish using this set of theories each time. The most reckless thing about following the trend is watching others make money with envy, then rushing in myself. Only after losing do I understand what it means to go with the trend. I didn't understand asset allocation at all at first. Now I finally realize what risk control really means. These 7 iron laws are pretty good to have, but I'm just worried that once I learn them, I might not be able to apply them. I've used MACD a few times, but I still got caught in a trap. Indicators are really just for reference. Reviewing your trades is the most crucial, but sometimes I forget to do it. By the time I realize, others have already been liquidated.
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SmartMoneyWalletvip
· 01-12 16:42
Honestly, volume at low levels is the real signal; at high levels, just run when volume increases. There's nothing wrong with that statement. Five consecutive losses only mean a 10% loss? Come on, most retail investors have already been wiped out, don't deceive yourself. Is it safe to open a position when the MACD forms a golden cross below the zero line? What about on-chain data and capital flow? Relying solely on this indicator is too naive. The 120-day moving average theory sounds comfortable, but which major upward wave hasn't been pre-arranged by whales? What’s the point of reviewing past trades? The key is not to see through the dealer’s chip distribution. No matter how many tricks there are, they’re all useless.
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MoonlightGamervip
· 01-12 16:37
Sounds professional, but I've already played with the techniques before. The key is that the hardest part to overcome is still the mindset.
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NervousFingersvip
· 01-12 16:26
No matter how eloquently you speak, you have to actually make money. Armchair strategizing is the easiest.
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MoneyBurnerSocietyvip
· 01-12 16:25
You speak quite nicely, but my blood and tears over the past few years are just counterexamples. Following this approach, I still get cut... Eh, that five-point method for funds sounds good, but the stop-loss really can't be executed; I always want to hold on for a bit longer. Review? I review weekly until I doubt my life, and in the end, I realize it's just bad luck haha. When the MACD death cross occurs, I always react a half beat late. By the time I react, I'm already on the floor. Signals with volume at low positions are really effective, but I always chase after high-volume moves at the top... The most ridiculous thing is, every rule in this iron law is true, so why did I become a negative alpha?
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