#策略性加码BTC $BTC Trend Judgment: First, conclude that a new bull market window is opening, with a target of 130,000-150,000. There are three main reasons supporting this judgment:
First, the macro environment is warming. The global regulatory framework is becoming more mature, and governments and financial institutions worldwide are shifting from observation to gradual deployment of Bitcoin. Even the Federal Reserve has publicly stated that allocating crypto assets is a reasonable choice for financial institutions. This is a genuine positive for Bitcoin.
Second, the technicals are stuck at a critical level. The current trading range oscillates between 84,000 and 94,500, retracing 36% from the high. More importantly, the weekly chart has been sideways for 7 weeks, with support around 88,000—coincidentally, also the cost zone for spot ETFs. This is no coincidence; this level is solid.
Third, and most crucially: a true bull market requires retail participation. What does the current situation resemble? Like the real estate market—if only institutions buy and retail investors are pushed out, the price rise is hollow. Only with more retail investors joining can we create those crazy surges. Currently, altcoins have already fallen hard enough; from one perspective, the rebound energy is accumulating.
**Operational Reference**: If the price later dips toward 88,000, remember one condition— the weekly candle body must not fall below 86,500. Meeting this condition, you can consider gradually building long positions, with a stop-loss set at 79,500. This is a defensible level.
Final reminder: each bull market often ends in chaos. Not to discourage participation, but to remind you not to be blinded by quick profits. $ETH $SOL is also worth watching, but remember—greed often comes at a heavy price.
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SchroedingerAirdrop
· 4h ago
88000 is indeed a tough level, but it only counts if retail investors can really follow through. I think we should wait a bit longer.
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ArbitrageBot
· 17h ago
Retail investors still have to rely on altcoins to turn things around? I think it's uncertain. Whether this round can truly attract retail investors is the key.
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DegenDreamer
· 17h ago
Wait, the real estate market analogy is really spot on... A market with no retail investors at all is truly unreal.
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EntryPositionAnalyst
· 17h ago
Retail investors have been cut multiple times, and now suddenly they say retail participation is needed for a bull market? Isn't it a bit too late?
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NFTRegretter
· 17h ago
That 88,000 level really looks tough. The question is, when will retail investors be able to catch up?
#策略性加码BTC $BTC Trend Judgment: First, conclude that a new bull market window is opening, with a target of 130,000-150,000. There are three main reasons supporting this judgment:
First, the macro environment is warming. The global regulatory framework is becoming more mature, and governments and financial institutions worldwide are shifting from observation to gradual deployment of Bitcoin. Even the Federal Reserve has publicly stated that allocating crypto assets is a reasonable choice for financial institutions. This is a genuine positive for Bitcoin.
Second, the technicals are stuck at a critical level. The current trading range oscillates between 84,000 and 94,500, retracing 36% from the high. More importantly, the weekly chart has been sideways for 7 weeks, with support around 88,000—coincidentally, also the cost zone for spot ETFs. This is no coincidence; this level is solid.
Third, and most crucially: a true bull market requires retail participation. What does the current situation resemble? Like the real estate market—if only institutions buy and retail investors are pushed out, the price rise is hollow. Only with more retail investors joining can we create those crazy surges. Currently, altcoins have already fallen hard enough; from one perspective, the rebound energy is accumulating.
**Operational Reference**: If the price later dips toward 88,000, remember one condition— the weekly candle body must not fall below 86,500. Meeting this condition, you can consider gradually building long positions, with a stop-loss set at 79,500. This is a defensible level.
Final reminder: each bull market often ends in chaos. Not to discourage participation, but to remind you not to be blinded by quick profits. $ETH $SOL is also worth watching, but remember—greed often comes at a heavy price.
Feel free to discuss and critique.