2026-01-12 08:22:16

There is an interesting pattern: Bitcoin has never experienced three consecutive years of continuous gains.

Looking at the historical rhythm, the position in 2026 corresponds to the past years of 2014, 2018, and 2022. Coincidentally, all three years were similar—they either experienced a single-sided decline or significant volatility, with hardly any good days.

Looking back, after the sharp rise from 2024 to 2025, early entrants had already accumulated a lot of chips. ETF institutions, early miners, and those with large capital holdings now share a common thought: they've made enough profit and should cash out. These days, no one complains about having too much money; everyone wants to secure their gains.

Following this logic, the selling pressure will far outweigh the buying pressure. This is the most realistic reflection of the market.

Some people are still analyzing that the bull market will continue? Honestly, these voices now sound like self-deception.

BTC1,6%

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MoonWaterDroplets

· 01-12 08:52

2026 is set for a shakeout, big players have already started dumping, don't get caught off guard. --- I've seen this routine too many times; every time, someone claims the bull market will continue, and then what? --- All the chips are in the hands of big players. They just want to crash the market now, while retail investors are still in a daze. --- History repeats itself. 2014, 2018, 2022 all played out the same way, and 2026 won't be an exception. --- Make enough profit and then run. That's the real market logic. Don't listen to those hype-driven analysts. --- Three years of continuous rise? Dream on. Bitcoin's temperament is just like that. --- It's time for big institutions to cash out. Who gets caught later is very realistic. --- Another round of big reshuffling is coming, and the bears are going to go crazy.

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ShortingEnthusiast

· 01-12 08:52

It's the same old cycle theory again, I've heard it many times. The problem is, do big players really coordinate to dump the market so uniformly? It seems a bit too much of an assumption. --- 2026=2014/18/22? At first glance, this logic seems okay, but cycles are never exactly repetitive; they're always post-hoc rationalizations. --- Just because you've made enough profit, you must exit? Haha, the chips of top players might have already been dispersed long ago, so why dump everything at once? --- Is heavy selling pressure necessarily a sign of a drop? What about new money entering the market? Why is that always overlooked? --- I agree that there's a strong desire to cash out, but the market is always more complex than we imagine. Don't be too sure you're right. --- Calling it self-deception is a bit harsh... Maybe people just have different risk preferences. --- If you're so bullish on the bears, why not just go directly into futures contracts and wait for the analysis? --- Historical patterns, the more people believe in them, the less effective they become.

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TokenStorm

· 01-12 08:49

2026 is indeed a storm eye, on-chain data has long been hinting at something, but we retail investors are still daydreaming.

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MetaverseVagrant

· 01-12 08:39

Bro, I believe this logic. The 28-year cycle really works every time. If 2026 really turns out like 14, 18, and 22, then adding more now would be foolish. The people who have already cashed out have filled their chips, and by the time it’s our turn, the opportunity will be gone. Those who keep hyping up the bull market are either trying to scam retail investors into taking the bait or just plain clueless.

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TestnetFreeloader

· 01-12 08:36

2026 will be a downturn; the historical pattern is right here, there's no escaping it. The big players have already fully exited their positions, leaving only retail investors to pick up the slack? A bitter smile. When the cash-out wave hits, sell-offs can't be stopped at all, and you're still talking about a bull market... Are you joking with me? There hasn't even been a three-year rally, the cycle is just that ruthless. Those who say it will continue to rise... are they really fooling themselves or just deceiving us?

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RugPullAlertBot

· 01-12 08:26

This pattern is indeed incredible; 26 years will definitely be crushed. The big players have realized this round of harvesting, who still expects it to keep soaring? Those who keep saying it will continue to rise... wake up, everyone. It's that season again for harvesting the little guys; be careful with your chips. Rising for three consecutive years? Dream on, history will repeat itself.

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