2026-01-12 03:25:00

Recently, I have been paying attention to the trend of a certain cryptocurrency. Setting aside various technical indicators, the candlestick patterns themselves are quite interesting. There is a clear resistance level above the chart, and on the 4-hour timeframe, a distinct downward trend is evident, along with the appearance of a classic hammer candlestick pattern.

From a fundamental perspective, the current circulating supply of this coin is mainly concentrated in a few institutions, and its market valuation still has room for adjustment. More importantly, market awareness has not been fully established, and retail participation is not very high, which also results in a relatively limited number of builders.

Based on the above analysis, a light short position can be considered for entry. Due to relatively sufficient liquidity, shorting this coin generally faces no slippage pressure. A light position strategy means risks are manageable and there is no need to overthink.

The short-term target is around 0.135. The overall logic is clear, and the execution difficulty is not high.

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BearMarketSurvivor

· 4h ago

Hammer candlestick pattern combined with institutional accumulation of coins, I've seen this trick too many times, and in the end retail investors still get crushed. Institutions lower prices to build positions, should we short at this point? Just thinking about it feels off. How did the price level of 0.135 come about? It feels a bit arbitrary. Ample liquidity can actually be more dangerous. Think about when institutions will exit. Basically, it's a gamble on what the institutions will do next. I think this bet is a bit risky. Even with a small position, it’s still a position. Getting beaten up is still painful, brother. What if the support level is broken? Have you thought through this scenario?

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BlockTalk

· 23h ago

Institutions are holding onto their chips while retail investors haven't entered yet. This kind of situation makes shorting quite comfortable, saving on slippage. --- The resistance level is so obvious; it should have been anticipated earlier. However, entering with a small position is still a prudent approach. --- The 0.135 level is interesting, but I'm still worried about institutions reversing the trend and pushing the price up. In that case, a small position might not hold. --- Sufficient liquidity is both an advantage and a hidden risk; be careful not to get crushed through it. --- Hammer candlestick plus trend, looks like a bearish signal, but I always feel that such "clear" opportunities are the easiest to reverse. --- Low retail participation is actually quite dangerous, indicating no one is willing to take the other side. When the price drops, who will come to rescue you? --- Small positions are good; at least you won't lose your pants. But with coins like these, I always feel like I can't make big money. --- Institutions are holding onto their chips, waiting for someone to take the bait. Be cautious of being trapped in a short position.

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ForkThisDAO

· 23h ago

Institutions are holding the market so aggressively, do retail investors still dare to buy the dip and short? I think it's a gamble. --- Hammer candlestick pattern always tricks me, is it coming again? --- With sufficient liquidity, there's no slippage—just an ideal scenario, haha. --- 0.135? It depends on when institutions start to unload; technical analysis is all talk. --- Being light on positions is just a way of saying you're timid; still lacking confidence. --- Feels like this analysis is just a post-hoc explanation; it's still early to enter. --- The support level indicates a downward trend; this signal is too obvious, which makes me a bit hesitant. --- Low awareness and participation—this is just a prelude to a black swan event.

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GateUser-c799715c

· 23h ago

Institutions are locking in their positions so aggressively; do retail investors still dare to short? It seems easy to get crushed.

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LazyDevMiner

· 23h ago

Hammer candlestick indicates a downtrend again. I've seen this pattern many times before being reversed, haha. It's fine to hold short positions lightly; I'm just worried that institutions might suddenly step in to support the market, and retail investors won't be able to keep up.

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GreenCandleCollector

· 23h ago

Hammer candles appear and you want to short? Institutions are holding it, retail investors are probably just cannon fodder. --- 0.135? I think it's doubtful. Adequate liquidity makes it easier to be crushed. --- Listening to light positions feels comfortable, but actually it's just being timid. --- Everyone can see support and resistance levels, the key is when the institutions will withdraw. --- I've heard this logic too many times; in the end, it's just stories that lead to losses. --- I never touch coins with low recognition; the risk is too dark. --- Short positions are okay, but don't regret it when you're liquidated. --- Institutions haven't left yet, but want to buy the dip and short? That's an idea. --- Slippage pressure indicates not many people are playing, trading volume is worrying. --- Is risk controllable? Ha, does that even happen in the crypto world?

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ApeWithNoFear