2026-01-11 23:44:33

The weather temperature track on Polymarket that most people overlook has someone consistently withdrawing funds.

I analyzed four real wallets, and these players have been long-term harvesting in the niche but efficient prediction track of "Weather/Temperature."

Taking the StrideR account as an example—total earnings of $130k, 1502 predictions, a win rate of 49.7%. It sounds like a low win rate, but this guy made $55k just in the weather market.

What’s truly impressive is the timing of their bets and chip management. It’s not about randomly pressing, but daring to place heavy bets on specific temperature prediction contracts. Seemingly insignificant weather data can be transformed into stable cash flow by precise traders.

What does this indicate? The profit pockets in prediction markets often hide outside mainstream attention. While most focus on hot tracks like politics and sports, niche markets can actually present clearer opportunities.

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RektHunter

· 01-12 00:14

Damn, the weather prediction track can still reliably withdraw funds, oh my god Really, it feels like playing with weather, but someone is earning five figures a month, unbelievable This win rate doesn't look great, but how can they make so much money, how do they do it Rare tracks indeed have no competition, but why is no one playing them From what I see of this logic, it feels like another story of a bottom-level trap Chip management is indeed important, but is weather prediction really reliable? It's a bit uncertain So it's just timing and position management, nothing new beyond that It sounds simple, but how much money do you need to throw in to test it out?

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POAPlectionist

· 01-12 00:14

Weather forecasting has indeed been underestimated; I need to do some research.

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LightningClicker

· 01-12 00:10

Can weather forecasting earn 55k? How good does this guy have to be at reading weather forecasts, haha

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FUD_Vaccinated

· 01-12 00:04

Can you reliably withdraw funds from niche markets like weather temperature? I believe in this logic, but the premise is that you truly understand the data rather than guessing blindly. A 49.7% win rate sounds average; making 55k is the real goal.

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StealthDeployer

· 01-12 00:04

Weather forecasting track? That's really something else, this is truly the real information gap.

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DefiVeteran

· 01-11 23:57

Can weather forecasts be cut? I have to try it out, anyway the political track has already been played out.

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