#2026年比特币价格展望 2026 marks the beginning of the year, and Bitcoin price predictions are flying everywhere. But what truly matters is not a single person's statement, but the logic behind these forecasts—the macroeconomic factors combined with technical analysis.

Recently, the market voices have been diverse. Conservatives expect a potential drop below 30k; however, more bullish analysts, based on power-law models, project a range of 71k-349k by the end of the year, with fair value between 155k-211k; some are even more optimistic, reaching 240k-300k, betting on the fifth wave of parabolic growth; others focus on fluctuations within the 80k-140k range. Regarding the Q1 timeframe, some see 124k-150k (considering regulatory developments and ETF trends), while others target 110k-120k but remain cautious of Q3 risks; some also set the price standard for digital gold at 180k-200k.

Currently, BTC hovers around 90k-94k. Over the weekend, it slightly rose due to unemployment data, institutional ETF inflows continued, and discussions around the CLARITY Act provided some positive signals. But the real variables are—unlocking pressure, Federal Reserve interest rate movements, and changes in global liquidity—all of which could trigger volatility.

On the extreme end, a bear market could dip to a low of 51k; on the optimistic side, a sustained rally beyond 235k is entirely plausible. Ultimately, it’s not about betting blindly but about understanding data and the fundamentals. Those who can interpret on-chain signals and macro backgrounds will be able to go further in this long race.