Recently, my backend has been bombarded with a so-called "Immortal Rule": the market will profit if it rises for 4 consecutive days, and will neither profit nor lose if it falls for 4 consecutive days. There are also a bunch of investment tips following the trend—don't sell after earning one or two thousand, don't panic if you lose, just hold long-term with your eyes closed, and in the end, you might forget what assets you even have, turning into a winner.



It sounds very tempting, but I must say: if you play this theory poorly, you'll probably turn your principal into bubbles.

I've been in the crypto market for 8 years, experienced 3 complete bull and bear cycles, and what I want to honestly say is—long-term holding does not mean closing your eyes and pretending to be dead.

Let's start with the biggest misconception: treating "lying flat long-term holding" as a get-out-of-jail-free card. Many beginners think like this—don't dare to sell when it rises (fear of missing out), comfort themselves when it falls (holding will make it rise), and even genuinely hold onto their current positions as if they are their boyfriends, ignoring what they own and feeling less bothered. But this is precisely the most fatal mistake.

The crypto market has never had a strict rule like "rising for 4 days in a row guarantees profit, falling for 4 days in a row guarantees no loss." Do you know how crazy market fluctuations can be? Just a few days ago, everyone was celebrating, and the next second, a regulatory news could cause a 15% plunge. Those so-called "rules" are just coincidences in short-term market trends—if you rely on them, you'll lose.

Even more problematic is this: a fan once listened to some advice, holding onto a small coin with no real application. He initially made over $3,000 profit but stubbornly held until an 80% loss, and finally, the project team ran away, leaving him with nothing. That’s the typical outcome of "lying flat and holding."

So remember: the premise of long-term holding is not mindless death-pretending, but based on rational judgment of the project's fundamentals. You need to know what you're holding, why you're holding it, and when to cut losses. That’s the true long-term strategy.
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BlockchainBrokenPromisevip
· 12h ago
Same old story... I’ve seen too many people get caught like this, and very few actually survive. Holding blindly? I just want to ask that guy what he was thinking before the project ran away. Talking about guaranteed profit after 4 days of continuous rise—really treating yourself like an ATM. The key is to understand what you’re holding, don’t just hold and wait for it to skyrocket. This is the biggest lesson I’ve learned in 8 years: there’s no such thing as something that’s foolproof. The feeling of turning $3000 into a negative... it’s quite ironic when I think about it now. Pattern? The crypto world has no pattern, only the pattern of getting caught. Holding isn’t wrong, but it needs logical support; you can’t rely solely on faith.
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PumpDoctrinevip
· 01-13 10:57
Oh no, I see this kind of rhetoric again. It’s really annoying. Holding blindly? That’s a trap set for clueless people. I’ve heard too many stories of projects running away, lessons learned the hard way. You have to think it through yourself; it’s not gambler’s logic. There’s no such thing as patterns; don’t be brainwashed.
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4am_degenvip
· 01-12 03:09
Listening to these "immortal rules" makes me want to laugh. Even after falling for 4 days, no loss? The next second, a 15% plunge—what do you say? Haha It's another wave of the routine to cut leeks. Beginners are most likely to fall for it, and many end up losing everything by stubbornly holding small coins. Closing your eyes and pretending to be dead? That's gambling, not investing. The thing I fear most in my 8 years is seeing this self-illusionary holding mentality. Do you know what you're holding? Why are you holding it? When should you cut losses? — That’s the key. Everything else is nonsense. I've heard this story too many times: a profit of 3000 turns into an 80% loss, the project runs away, and the person disappears. The cost of lying flat and holding is too high.
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SpeakWithHatOnvip
· 01-11 10:54
Pretending to be dead with your eyes closed is just giving up? That's suicidal, not long-term holding... I've seen many coins drop to zero after just ten days of decline. Who told you there's a pattern? I've heard too many stories of total loss. Honestly, I advise everyone to be more cautious. This theory is just a cover for harvesting the little guys. Don't be fooled. Long-term holding is fine, but you need to know what you're holding.
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ChainDetectivevip
· 01-11 10:51
It's that old, worn-out "divine rule" again, hearing it makes my ears callous. Long-term holding with eyes closed? Bro, that's the best excuse to cut the leeks.
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RumbleValidatorvip
· 01-11 10:45
The example of holding onto small coins and losing 80% really hit home. This is a typical case of the validation mechanism failing.
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SelfCustodyIssuesvip
· 01-11 10:37
Those candlestick pattern rules are mostly jokes made up by survivor bias. If pretending to be dead with eyes closed could make money, it wouldn't be called the crypto market; it would be called a retirement home. Mindless long-term holding ultimately just helps project teams unload their bags. Wake up, everyone. Really, stop-loss is a thousand times harder than take-profit, this is the core. Rising for 4 days straight guarantees profit? Buddy, one news event can cause a 15% plunge. Where does this confidence in the pattern come from? Position management is the prerequisite for survival; lying flat is just waiting for zero.
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