Recently, the BTC market has indeed been frustrating—prices are oscillating within a consolidation range, with both bulls and bears in a tense standoff. Watching the charts for hours, no clear direction emerges. However, behind this stalemate, there are actually technical signals that can be captured.

From the perspective of capital flow and weekly structure, I identify two relatively clear directional indicators.

**The first signal is a short-term dip**. Based on recent capital movements and weekly support levels, BTC is likely to test the support zone around 85,500-87,500. Cautious funds are gradually exiting, and this pressure to sell at higher levels is enough to drive the price toward the support. This is not just a technical hypothesis but is derived from the behavior patterns of market participants.

**The second signal is an upward breakout in late mid-month**. The price is expected to break through the short-term resistance at 84,789 and reach around 102,000 by the end of the month or early February. This judgment is based on two dimensions: first, the regularity of historical seasonal trends; second, the lagging nature of market sentiment—usually about 24 hours delay before fully reflecting in the price. While bullish sentiment is still building, the release process has just begun.

Of course, many uncertain variables cannot be fully predicted. For example, will there be a short-term rebound to around 93,000 before a correction? These are heavily influenced by unexpected events and short-term capital flows, making predictions less meaningful. During the decline, the price may also encounter buffers at other support levels, which are factors to consider in actual trading.

Overall, there is a clear sense of direction, but enough room should be left for uncertainties in operational strategies.