Recently, I thought of a question—In this currently turbulent market, how should investors allocate their crypto asset portfolios?

Some advocate for a conservative approach, while others are more optimistic about high-growth opportunities. Instead of debating who is right or wrong, it really depends on your judgment of the upcoming market.

**A conservative allocation might look like this:**

Bitcoin accounts for 40%, serving as the ballast of the asset basket. Ethereum makes up 30%, as the core of the ecological application layer. Solana, Ripple, and BNB each occupy 10%, representing different technological routes and application ecosystems.

**For those seeking more aggressive returns, they might consider:**

TAO, SUI, LINK, HYPE each at 15%, paired with KAS, ONDO, SEI, TEL each at 10%. These projects are mostly in the early stages of storytelling, with greater growth potential and imagination.

Both approaches are laid out here, but before choosing, you need to clarify one thing—what will actually happen next.

**This week's data bomb is a watershed.**

Today, the US non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate will be announced, two figures that directly influence the Federal Reserve’s rate hike decisions. Any unexpected volatility can change the entire market sentiment within minutes. Meanwhile, China’s inflation and PPI data will also be released, which relate to whether more stimulus measures will be implemented in the future. Plus, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and various speeches by Fed officials will be released, enough to make the market tremble for a while.

**But the real drama is next week.**

The US CPI and core inflation data on January 13 could be the most critical cards right now. This number not only impacts short-term market trends but also sets the overall tone for the first half of 2026.

On January 14, keep an eye on China’s trade data—an important window into the state of global demand.

On January 15, UK GDP and Eurozone industrial production; on January 16, US industrial production and Germany’s final inflation rate—all could be variables that shake the market.

**But these are not the biggest uncertainties.**

The final ruling by the Supreme Court on US tariffs will also be a key event during this period. Regardless of which side the decision favors, the market will have to face the entire chain of uncertainties—recalculating tariffs, trade retaliation, rising corporate costs. This policy-level suspense is enough to cause investors to change strategies in the short term.

Adding to that, inflation risks are not fully gone, rate cuts are postponed, the recession probability is approaching 35%, cracks are appearing in the job market, concerns about the AI bubble persist, and the international situation remains unpredictable. The entire market is actually in a quite fragile state.

**In this context, the choice of investment portfolio becomes especially critical.**

The advantage of a conservative approach is that when macro factors dominate market trends, it can provide a relatively solid bottom. Bitcoin and Ethereum have high liquidity and recognition; although volatility can still occur, it’s less likely to cause panic-driven losses.

An aggressive approach is a completely different strategy. These smaller-cap coins are still in the early stages of storytelling, so their volatility is naturally higher. But from another perspective, this very uncertainty breeds greater opportunities. The main risk is choosing the wrong timing—holding high-volatility assets during extreme market panic can be psychologically challenging.

So the real question is: what is your current judgment of this market? Do you think macro shocks will suppress risk appetite, or do you believe the market is already sufficiently pessimistic, with rebound potential underestimated?

Both paths are being taken by different investors; the key is to find the one that matches your risk tolerance.