2026-01-07 02:20:12

#数字资产动态追踪 Last night, global capital markets stirred a wave. The Federal Reserve decision-makers collectively sent dovish signals, and expectations for rate cuts suddenly surged. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 hit new all-time highs, while cryptocurrencies responded accordingly—mainstream coins like $BTC, $ETH, $BNB surged across the board, igniting bullish momentum instantly.

Federal Reserve Board member Milan made a major forecast in his latest speech: there is potential for over 100 basis points of rate cuts this year, as core inflation indicators approach the policy target. Meanwhile, another Fed official, Barkin, also signaled that future policy needs to balance inflation control and employment growth to prevent shocks to the economy.

The latest data from CME Fed Funds futures is even more critical: the probability of a rate cut in March has risen to 40%. While January may remain on hold, the market has formed a strong consensus—there will be at least two rate cuts this year, and by the end of the year, the federal funds rate is expected to fall within the 3.00%-3.25% range. As expectations for easing intensify, safe-haven assets like gold and silver opened higher this morning, with substantial funds reallocating across asset classes.

A new cycle of abundant liquidity is approaching. Is this rebound from the historical high just the beginning, or a short-term emotional peak? What are your thoughts on the sustainability of this rally? Feel free to share your upcoming trading strategies.

BTC-0,5%

ETH-0,8%

BNB0,81%

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FlashLoanLord

· 8h ago

Here comes the dovish rhetoric again, but this time it really seems like a rate cut... BTC is rising too fast, it feels like a buy-the-dip situation. --- 100 basis points? Stop exaggerating, it will end up halving in value... --- Wait, gold and silver are also rising? This is a sign of comprehensive easing, funds are splashing everywhere. --- 3 months 40%? I bet they’ll drag it out until June. The Fed is the best at flinching. --- A rebound from the all-time high... buddy, is this what you call "the start"? It looks more like a signal that the emotional high is about to land. --- The S&P hits a new high, and the crypto market is following suit, but how long this correlation can last is really hard to say. --- Easing cycle? I’m afraid it’s just a trick to lure retail investors in again, just look at how they played it last year. --- Cross-asset reallocation sounds fancy, but basically it’s betting the Fed won’t change its mind... is that even feasible? --- Two rate cuts? That’s a bit conservative, I think four is more appropriate, otherwise it’s not fair to the inflation data. --- Is Milan reliable? Feels like he keeps changing his tune every time... --- Gold rising is indeed interesting, but it’s safer to allocate some hedging assets.

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WalletManager

· 21h ago

The dovish signals are so strong that I already moved the BTC from my cold wallet, managing the private keys very securely. Now is the time to be even more cautious. 100 basis points rate cut? Don't be fooled. Before a rebound from a historical high, it's always like this. It's just short-term sentiment. Holding onto your chips tightly is the right move. On-chain data shows whales are selling. Don't just look at CME futures; the flow in multi-signature wallets reveals the true situation. End-of-year 3%-3.25%? That number sounds too perfect. I rate the risk at 8 out of 10. It's better to focus on long-term asset allocation plans.

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AirdropGrandpa

· 01-07 02:49

The rate cut expectation triggered a surge, and all mainstream coins turned green. This wave is indeed a bit substantial. Wait, could it be another false prosperity? Let's wait until March to see the results. Is it still safe to chase BTC at this level? Feeling a bit timid and hesitant to buy in. Friends who didn't get on the train yesterday, don't panic. The good show might still be ahead. I heard that some big V said this is the start of a major rebound. I don't believe it. Is the Federal Reserve really going to loosen monetary policy? Then I need to reassess my positions. This is the easiest time to get cut. I think I'll continue to observe. A 100 basis point rate cut space sounds great, but I care more about actual implementation.

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NotFinancialAdvice

· 01-07 02:47

Dovish signals emerge, and BTC takes off immediately. This rhythm is really incredible. 100 basis points rate cut? Damn, that's a bit crazy, feels like a big market move is coming. A 40% chance of rate cut in March, still better to wait and see, don't get too excited. Could this be another case of rushing in at the start? Stay tuned. The rate cut cycle is here, is the bull really going to get excited? I choose to hold and observe. Liquidity will be loosened, feels like a good time to position. Last night's surge, is it a genuine breakout or a trap for a rebound? BTC is hitting new highs again, but I still have some reservations. Speculation on easing expectations, be careful not to be the one holding the bag. Two rate cut expectations per year, are these figures reliable, everyone?

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PessimisticLayer

· 01-07 02:45

Expectations of rate cuts have been speculated multiple times, but can they really materialize? It feels like a mirage. BTC's recent surge is quite strong; beware of the risks. 100 basis points? Sounds intimidating, but what about the reality... Liquidity cycle? I'm just asking if it can last until Q2. Funds are rushing in, but I'm still on the sidelines. A new all-time high sometimes signals a high-level buy-in. When dovish signals are released, prices soar across the board. Can this buying momentum last? A 40% probability in March doesn't sound low, but even if easing happens, the crypto market might not necessarily rise.

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LostBetweenChains

· 01-07 02:40

As soon as the rate cut expectation comes, the coin price soars. I'm tired of this routine; the key is whether it can really be implemented. Wait, 100 basis points? Are you sure you're not just making empty promises? BTC's recent surge is a bit fierce; we need to stay alert so we don't get hammered down again. Reallocating funds sounds good, but the real liquidity dividends for us might be a long way off. A 40% chance of rate cut in March? Not enough. I'll believe it only when the rate cut actually happens.

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