#Polymarket预测市场 Seeing Polymarket's move to spin off and develop its own L2 is worth reflecting on. I still remember the wild days of the Ethereum ecosystem in 2015, when many projects were stuck in infrastructure bottlenecks—slow transactions, high fees, poor user experience. Back then, people were still debating whether Layer 2 solutions were reliable.

Ten years have passed, and history often echoes. Polygon was once seen as a solution, with many projects building on it. But this incident reminds me of a recurring cycle: when a platform becomes sufficiently important and heavily reliant on certain infrastructure, the idea of independence inevitably arises. In 2018, EOS aimed to challenge Ethereum; in 2020, Binance Chain sought to create its own ecosystem—I've seen this pattern too many times.

Polymarket's decision is quite interesting. They're not complaining; they're acting. Leaving Polygon, abandoning third-party service providers, and pushing their own L2—behind this is a clear logical chain: when platform stability and performance become the ceiling for business growth, self-empowerment becomes inevitable. The Polygon outage might have been a trigger, but the real driving force is the business logic itself.

The question is, how many projects have the strength to do this? From infrastructure to ecosystem maintenance, it's not an easy task. Watching them attempt to replace veteran service providers like GoldSky and Alchemy, I see both determination and risk. Historically, such independent attempts have had few successes.

If they continue down this path, Polymarket will either become a model of ecosystem independence or serve as a cautionary tale of overconfidence. Time will tell.