Prediction markets are becoming a window into understanding the flow of smart money. When major geopolitical events occur, savvy traders who have positioned themselves early often leave clues in related prediction markets.

Recent fluctuations in the international situation serve as an excellent case study. Taking a well-known prediction platform as an example, multiple related prediction events have already been opened around recent geopolitical hotspots, including predictions on political figures' movements, timelines of military conflicts, and various geopolitical risk forecasts. These events may seem ordinary, but in fact, they attract a large number of information-sensitive professional traders.

The core logic of tracking smart money is actually simple: find addresses that keep increasing their bets in a single direction, then study their complete transaction records. When you discover that an address not only bets on one event but also firmly backs the same direction across multiple related hotspots, it usually indicates a strong information advantage or in-depth research behind it.

In practice, you can quickly filter by checking the Top Holders leaderboard of these prediction markets. The key is to identify those large holders with a firm stance and a single direction. By examining their transaction history, you'll find that these individuals respond to hot news with much higher speed and accuracy than ordinary traders. In this zero-sum game of prediction markets, observing the dynamics of such participants can significantly improve your win rate. If you're interested in this tracking method, consider trying it out during the next hot event.