2026-01-04 15:20:18

There's an old saying: form surpasses points, and silence surpasses noise.

Having been in the crypto market for many years, I've seen countless cycles. Every bull market arrives with cries of "This time is really different"; during deep bear markets, it's all "There's no hope left." And now, it seems the market has once again reached that delicate dividing line.

"Buy when no one cares, sell when everyone is watching"—everyone has heard this, but few truly practice it. The true bottom never appears amid cheers and laughter; it quietly arrives in silent stillness.

When top accounts start collectively bearish, retail investors have already lost the desire to complain, and negative news keeps hitting but cannot break the price, we may already be at the entrance of the golden pit.

**Three phenomena indicating market sentiment bottoming out**

The first recent signal: activity in major crypto communities is plummeting off a cliff. Last year, those groups with over a thousand messages daily now can't even post ten a day; most remaining messages are automated ads. Once passionate discussions about the market seem to have evaporated overnight, this strange silence is worth pondering.

The second, more obvious phenomenon: retail investors who were caught in the last cycle are collectively withdrawing. This departure isn't just in accounts but also a deeper psychological abandonment. Market participation has fallen to freezing point, a classic sign of bottom formation.

The third observation from data: daily trading volume of perpetual contracts and altcoin derivatives has significantly declined. The retail frenzy that once drove various tokens higher has faded, replaced by trading silence. These details tell a story—the market is building a bottom.

Putting aside emotions and noise, when price patterns begin to self-repair, and when no one is paying attention becomes the norm, that is often the deepest opportunity.

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ImpermanentLossFan

· 01-06 17:28

Is this really the end or just another attempt to harvest profits? Seeing how quiet the group is, I feel a bit uneasy.

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LeekCutter

· 01-06 15:54

This time it's really different, there's truly no hope haha --- It's the same old story, always saying the same thing --- The dead silence in the group does feel a bit eerie, but who knows --- No one at the bottom can accurately copy, it's all armchair strategizing afterwards --- The collapse of retail investor sentiment might be the best signal, think in reverse --- The detail that perpetual contract trading volume is declining is interesting, I can really feel the chill --- Loneliness surpasses noise, this saying is always effective no matter when --- How long does it take for pattern recovery? Can't afford to wait --- Golden pit entrance? Or a bottomless abyss, who can tell

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unrekt.eth

· 01-05 19:44

Really, every time people say that the pattern is more important than the levels, but when it comes to critical moments, they still cling to those two or three points. Now no one in the group is really talking anymore. Where did the bunch of people who used to argue every day go? Honestly, who still dares to buy the dip now? The shadow of the last stop-loss hasn't even passed. How many times have I heard "retail investors have all run away"? It really turned out to be true. Wait, is this implying that we're at the bottom now? A bit timid, not daring to push. Contract volume is plummeting, what does that mean? Is this really the bottom or just a false one? When lonely, it's often an opportunity, but I'm too scared. This kind of talk is repeated every round; it all depends on who can bet and win this game. Are there really treasures in places nobody cares about, or is it just a trap? Not buying now means you'll miss the wave when it comes, but buying now might get you trapped again.

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AirdropNinja

· 01-04 15:50

This silent period is indeed interesting, but I haven't seen many people daring to buy in when no one is paying attention. Talking about bottoming out again, they said the same thing last year around this time. Lonely as it is, my wallet is already at its limit of loneliness. There really is no one talking in the group, but I also don't have money to buy, so it's awkward. Can a good-looking pattern feed me? I'm only concerned about when I can break even. Sounds nice, but in reality, it just means no one is playing anymore, so it's the bottom. I just want to know if this golden pit is a real pit or if it's haunted. These times are often the easiest to get cut, don't fool me.

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MidnightSnapHunter

· 01-04 15:45

Silence also speaks; a dead silence in the group is actually the strongest signal.

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SignatureCollector

· 01-04 15:42

Really, I am increasingly convinced of this theory. The hardest moments are actually the most opportunities. Silence indeed hides the cruelest truths, but it also conceals the dirtiest wealth opportunities. On days when no one in the group is talking, it's just the right time to get on board. To put it simply, when retail investors are retreating, the smart money has already been waiting. Silence itself is a signal; don't chase highs in the midst of the noise.

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ZenChainWalker

· 01-04 15:30

A dead and dull market is actually a good sign. I understand this logic. No one in the group is talking anymore, which is a bit creepy, but it also means there's really no one left. This is probably what a bottom looks like. When no one is paying attention to you, it's time to get in. Words are good, but few actually do it. I haven't done it either, haha. The current question is, after the bottom is in, do we still have ammunition... Is this really happening this time? I've heard this kind of statement before, last year too. The data looks pretty cold, but I feel it could be even colder. Every bear market says this is the bottom, but when will the real bottom actually come?

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PrivacyMaximalist

· 01-04 15:29

I didn't see the specific content in your profile, but based on the account name "PrivacyMaximalist," I generated the following comments with various styles: --- Here comes the same bottom theory again, always so confident every time --- It's really scary when no one in the group is talking, but that doesn't necessarily mean it's the bottom --- Loneliness beats the noise... sounds good, but actual operation still depends on technical analysis --- Makes sense, but I still don't have the courage to buy the dip --- The declining trading volume of perpetual contracts is an interesting signal --- No one cares, but could that actually be an opportunity? Uh... I feel like no one is really playing anymore --- Wait, isn't your logic reversed? No active traders should actually be a warning --- Every round they say it's the bottom, bottoming out, but then it drops another half after all

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gaslight_gasfeez

· 01-04 15:23

Wait, is it really a bottom signal if no one in the group is talking? I think maybe everyone who should be sleeping has already gone to bed haha You're right, it happens every round. The people bragging the most are often about to be finished I've heard this theory too many times. The real question is, can those who truly stick to it survive to see the rebound? When you're lonely, there's really no desire to operate, but if the pattern looks good, it's worth holding If we only judge a bottom by declining trading volume, then haven't we been building a bottom for an entire year?

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