2025-12-31 09:28:24

Does the 'End-of-Period Curse' Really Exist in Trading?

Traders often notice a peculiar pattern: markets tend to move unfavorably right at the closing of trading periods—whether it's the last day of a week, month, or quarter. Some blame liquidations, others point to institutional rebalancing, and a few chalk it up to pure coincidence.

But is there genuine statistical evidence behind this phenomenon? Position management shifts, profit-taking waves, and the psychological pressure of 'now-or-never' decisions all converge at critical time points. Retail traders frequently get caught in these moves, only to watch reversals happen shortly after the period closes.

The real question: how do you trade *around* this volatility rather than *into* it? Tightening stops, reducing leverage, or simply sitting on the sidelines during these windows might just be the edge you're missing.

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GasFeePhobia

· 8h ago

During those last few days of the month, I was especially timid, just completely out of the market and lying flat, anyway, this curse is really true...

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FunGibleTom

· 9h ago

During those last few days of the month, I really didn't dare to move. I kept getting pricked every time, so I just left it alone and waited until the period was over.

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ShibaSunglasses

· 9h ago

During those few days at the end of the month, I really took a break and didn't touch any orders. Watching others get hit while I sit nearby drinking tea—that's the real feeling of making money.

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CafeMinor

· 9h ago

I got broken three times at the end of the month. Now, I will rest for the last three days of the month. Not losing money is winning.

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TradFiRefugee

· 9h ago

I really didn't expect that wave of selling at the end of the month. Just looking at the chart, you could tell something was going to go wrong.

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DeFiDoctor

· 9h ago

The consultation records show that the clinical manifestations of this kind of "end-of-cycle curse" are actually typical symptoms of liquidity runs. The issue is not whether it exists, but whether you understand the underlying funding logic—institutional rebalance, liquidation volatility, psychological games. These can all be verified with on-chain data and don't rely on "feelings." It is recommended to regularly review your risk control mechanisms. Don't always think about bottom-fishing against the trend; reducing leverage and sitting on the sidelines is the real edge.

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