2025-12-31 09:25:31

At 16:30 Beijing time, the onshore RMB against the US dollar closed at 6.9890, up 11 points from the previous trading day's official close, with a surge of 52 points in the night session. Although this wave of market movement is not large in magnitude, it reveals the true sentiment of the market.

In the short term, this small appreciation of the RMB reflects a phased recovery of market confidence. But the problem is—volatility continues to increase. Behind what seems like a mild rally are deep disagreements among investors about the future exchange rate trend and a high level of uncertainty.

Why is this important for crypto traders? Simply put, exchange rates do not exist in isolation. The appreciation or depreciation of the RMB directly affects the flow of funds in global markets, thereby impacting the liquidity landscape of crypto assets. When exchange rates fluctuate, cross-border capital flows become restless, which can trigger significant chain reactions in the funding of mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

The deeper logic is: exchange rate volatility often signals broader market adjustments. Investors should not only watch the coin prices but also pay attention to macro monetary changes. The first step in risk prevention is to stay alert to these seemingly subtle market signals.

What do you think? Will this RMB rebound be a prelude to improved market sentiment, or just a fleeting moment?

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GateUser-9ad11037

· 38m ago

Well, the 52-point fluctuation does seem to be hinting at something, but I still feel a bit worried about the wallet. Whenever the RMB moves, cross-border funds start to get restless. We really need to keep a close eye on it. The chance of a fleeting moment is quite high; let's wait and see how it develops later. Such signals are always the easiest to deceive; amplified volatility is the real danger. It's hard to say right now. Let's see how next week performs before discussing further.

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Blockblind

· 13h ago

Hmm... the RMB is starting to stir again. It feels like every small rebound hides a big risk behind it. To be honest, volatility is a double-edged sword. When the market is unclear about who is buying and who is selling, cross-border flows, once triggered, will directly impact the crypto world. But I think this rebound might really be a fleeting moment; the macro environment is still there. --- Forget it, better to reduce positions first. This kind of uncertainty is the most annoying. --- Wait, is this a signal that the Federal Reserve is about to loosen monetary policy again? --- Is RMB appreciation actually good or bad for us? Every time, I operate in the opposite direction. --- I agree with the logic of the exchange rate chain reaction, but the crypto world has always played its own game. The real factor that determines the trend is the movement of big players. --- Instead of guessing about the RMB, why not look at how the on-chain data of Bitcoin actually looks? No matter how much you boast, it’s all pointless.

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SchrodingerGas

· 13h ago

It's the same theory again. Exchange rate fluctuations indicate market adjustments, but I feel like I say this every time, and the coins still fluctuate as usual. But on the other hand, capital flows are indeed worth paying attention to. On-chain data can reflect some truths—just look at the pace of stablecoin inflows into exchanges to understand what big funds are thinking.

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AirdropHarvester

· 13h ago

Can this small rebound of the RMB really affect liquidity in the crypto market? It seems a bit overstated; it mainly depends on the Federal Reserve's moves.

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LiquidatedTwice

· 13h ago

The recent rebound of the RMB doesn't seem significant, but the real suspense lies in the underlying capital flows... When the exchange rate fluctuates, cross-border arbitrageurs are about to become restless, and the liquidity in the crypto market will definitely follow the turbulence. A 52-point surge in the night trading session? What signals is the market trying to send? The divergence feels greater than expected. Here we go again, with very detailed analysis, but honestly, these signals repeat every month, and investors have long been numb to them. A fleeting phenomenon, a game where nine out of ten lose, just watch and don't take it too seriously. The RMB appreciation does have an impact on Bitcoin liquidity, but how long will this rebound last? I bet within three days I’ll need to adjust again. Increased volatility = opportunity? Or = risk? It depends on whether you're going long or getting liquidated; I belong to the latter.

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HashBard

· 13h ago

rmb doing that thing again where it looks confident but the volatility's screaming something else... the micro-moves are always the most interesting, ngl. capital flows thru forex are like the heartbeat of crypto liquidity — miss it and you're just staring at candles without understanding the pulse underneath 📊

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airdrop_whisperer

· 13h ago

This small rise in the RMB feels like the calm before the storm. Increased volatility is the key. Once cross-border capital starts moving, the crypto market will immediately react.

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