#比特币价格走势 Seeing the probability of Bitcoin surpassing $100,000 on Polymarket drop from a high level to 25%, this signal is worth serious consideration. A cooling market sentiment is not a bad thing; in fact, it's the scene I like to see most—because it indicates that irrational FOMO is fading.

Remember last year's bull market, when everyone was shouting about $100,000, and various influencers were making predictions everywhere? And what happened? Many people got badly burned. This time, the probability coming down from a high level just shows that the market is self-correcting, and those blindly chasing highs are finally weakening.

But I want to remind you— a decrease in probability does not mean an opportunity is emerging, nor is it a signal to buy the dip. On the contrary, when market expectations shift from optimism to caution, it’s precisely the time when risks are most hidden. Projects claiming to be "bottom-positioned," various derivatives temptations, and leverage trading traps all tend to appear during these emotional shifts.

The secret to lasting long in this game is simple: don’t chase the trend at high levels, and don’t chase刺激 at low levels. Wait until the market truly stabilizes, and until those fake projects and manipulative schemes are exposed automatically—you’ll already be winning if you’re still here. The most valuable skill now is learning to read people, not chasing prices.