Recently, the popularity of prediction markets has clearly entered an acceleration phase. You will find that this field is gradually transforming into a brand new channel for information dissemination. Take recent examples, for instance, even well-known entrepreneurs are starting to frequently share news from related platforms. What does this reflect? In fact, it shows that more and more people are treating prediction markets as a real-time public opinion barometer—used to gauge the likelihood of real events occurring.

This shift is quite interesting. Traditional media tells you what has happened, while prediction markets use real-time trading data to tell you what people think will happen. Probabilities, consensus, market liquidity—these have all become new dimensions of information.

Of course, from a profit-seeking perspective, these platforms tend to see a surge in activity around major events (such as large competitions, elections, etc.), attracting many participants. But the underlying logic is—markets themselves are the most honest voting mechanism.