2025-12-31 07:25:08

2025 is coming to an end, and it's time to wrap up the year. Some time ago, I asked everyone if they made a profit this year, and many said they had good gains and felt great. But just two days later, the situation suddenly took a sharp turn.

On Monday, the market experienced a sharp sell-off, with precious metals like gold and silver falling more than 10%. As we approach the final moments of 2025, this sudden turn of events has caused those who had exceeded their targets to be instantly pulled back to reality. Some even kept adding to their positions without setting stop-losses, stubbornly holding onto key levels, but ended up giving back all their unrealized gains. It was truly a night to forget.

But on the other hand, most people's accounts are still profitable this year. In the current trend, as long as you don't overdo it, your returns won't be far off. It's just a matter of earning more or less.

The real focus of discussion now isn't the Monday plunge, but rather where gold will go next. Will it continue to shake out and consolidate, or will it fall and then gradually climb back, returning to a bull market rhythm? That's the question worth pondering.

My view is that in the short term, the probability of gold surging to $4,550 is low. Although there was a rebound yesterday that looked quite strong, and silver performed even more aggressively, on the daily chart, that large bearish candle has already sent a signal—upward momentum is lacking. Plus, the New Year’s Day holiday is just around the corner, and this period before and after the holiday is most prone to surprises.

This doesn't mean the bull market is reversing; it's just a mental preparation. This correction is actually paving the way for the subsequent rally, and cooling down overly enthusiastic sentiment isn't a bad thing.

Looking ahead to 2026, the bull market for gold is still intact. The Federal Reserve is still in a rate-cutting cycle, and that big picture hasn't changed.

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RugDocScientist

· 2h ago

Here he goes again, a quick surge in gold caught everyone off guard Back to square one overnight, this meme is really hilarious Not taking losses deserves it, time to learn the lesson Short-term consolidation is normal, long-term still depends on the Fed's stance Looking forward to another bullish year for gold next year, now's a good time to add positions They say the wind is at the forefront, and a small mistake can lead to a crash, this time it's just tuition paid A big bearish candle is really a killer, those hoping to buy the dip on a rebound are probably going to get burned again Let's wait and see, there should still be opportunities after New Year's Day Honestly, most of the gains this year came from just lying flat, while the ones who tried to chase lost money

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SerumSqueezer

· 13h ago

A night back to the pre-liberation days—it's really outrageous. The guys who don't set stop-losses must be feeling terrible now.

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SnapshotBot

· 13h ago

A night to return to the pre-liberation era, this move was really brilliant. Brothers who hold on without setting stop-losses must be feeling devastated now. Wait, is this really a shakeout or a trend reversal? Feeling exhausted, better to just hold and wait for 2026. It seems the easiest to make mistakes before the holiday, so better be cautious.

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ser_ngmi

· 13h ago

Here comes another "roller coaster," the Monday wave directly stunned people Unrealized gains are gone, adding more and not cutting losses, this move is really bold Short-term pressure is indeed high, but what about the 2026 golden pattern... the Federal Reserve's bottom is still there, right? Not setting a stop loss and stubbornly holding on, serves you right for being trapped, this is the price of greed Before New Year's Day, this period is indeed prone to issues, maybe we should take a break first A night back to the pre-liberation era, a bit exaggerated but not wrong either

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MoonRocketman

· 13h ago

The daily big bearish candle is showing, RSI is escaping at a reverse speed. This correction is just a gravity pullback, don't panic. The launch window for gold at 4550 is temporarily closed, but the orbit is still there. Just wait for the holiday to pass and refuel. Look at the angle coefficient of that big bearish candle; it's clearly lacking upward momentum. It's not a reversal signal, just overheated sentiment needing cooling. Brothers who woke up overnight back to the pre-liberation days, it shows that the stop-loss was not set properly. That's why I always emphasize that escape velocity must be calculated clearly. The Bollinger Bands channel hasn't broken yet. After adjustment, it will take off again. The Fed's rate cut in 2026 has not been played out yet.

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DAOdreamer

· 13h ago

One night back to the pre-liberation era, those buddies who keep adding positions without stop-loss are truly incredible. --- Again, during good market times, everyone is a profit-maker, and when it dips, everyone starts blaming each other. --- It seems we'll have to wait for the $4550 gold again; this period before the holiday is indeed prone to surprises. --- Speaking of silver, its recent performance was quite fierce; the rebound strength is somewhat interesting. --- Setting or not setting a stop-loss really is a watershed; watching unrealized gains evaporate feels... sigh. --- The bull market is still here, but the mindset needs adjustment. This shakeout came so timely, haha. --- I dare not chase high in the short term; let's wait and see how it moves after the holiday. --- The problem is, who knows where the bottom of the correction is? That's the most annoying part. --- The Federal Reserve hasn't stopped cutting interest rates yet; the logic is still there, so why panic? --- It's a bit tragic to see unrealized gains all gone after failing to hold key levels.

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MetaMisfit

· 13h ago

Is he fucking doing it again? Just said to make money and then dump the market. This rhythm is really incredible. I’ve been saying not to hold on stubbornly, but you insisted on waiting to get trapped. Serves you right. Can gold still go up later? That’s the real key. Relying on the Fed to cut interest rates in 2026 is just ridiculous; it depends on how the dollar moves. This wave without stop-losses should be a wake-up call. Actually, with such obvious opportunities this year, not making money is the real miracle. The hardest part is before New Year’s Day. Sit tight and hold on, everyone.

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AltcoinHunter

· 13h ago

A night back to the pre-liberation era is indeed ruthless. Yesterday I was still counting unrealized gains, and today I’m already counting unrealized losses haha... But on the other hand, that big bearish candle really has some significance. The short-term breakdown probability is still quite high. However, I still believe in the 2026 trend. What does the unchanged backdrop of the Federal Reserve mean? Let the shakeout happen, anyway the main trend is still there. I just worry that someone might really go all-in overnight. As for gold, it really depends on whether it can hold the key support. If it can't, it will continue to probe lower; if it can, it will slowly build a base. It feels like the recent rhythm is just laying the groundwork. I also want to see if there are any potential new stars that could be dragged down. In a crisis, maybe you can pick up a bargain. Opportunities that multiply a hundred times often come like this.

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