Seeing the trend clearly but still losing money—this is simply daily life in the derivatives market.

I've been trading contracts for 4 years, and the pitfalls I've stepped into could fill a mountain. I've seen someone turn 5,000 yuan into 1 million in half a year, and I've seen others with 500,000 yuan profit in their account one day, only to be liquidated to zero the next day. There's nothing mysterious behind this; it's just a matter of execution.

After so many years of tinkering, I’ve summarized the strategy into eight words: **Know when to be steady as a rock, and when to be ruthless without hesitation**. This is not just motivational talk; it’s lessons learned through real money.

## The most popular rule: 90% of the time watch, 10% of the time act

What is the biggest flaw of beginners? "Not trading makes me uncomfortable." Not placing an order all day feels like wasting 24 hours. But look at those who truly make money—they have this mindset—spend most of their time sitting there, eyes fixed on the market, doing nothing. Suddenly, an opportunity appears, they strike decisively, then continue to sit tight.

I have a follower who adopted my theory. In the first three months, he still had the old problem—placing orders every day, ending up paying over 800 yuan in fees and losing 30% of his account. Later, I forced him to calm down and told him, "You need to learn this course on market timing." By the fourth month, he only made one move, which earned him a 40% profit, wiping out all his losses from the previous months.

So what truly counts as an opportunity? I’ve summarized three signals:

**First is breakout + volume confirmation**. For example, BTC oscillates within a certain price range for several days, then suddenly a large bullish candle breaks through the resistance level. The volume of this candle is three times or more than the previous day—this usually indicates big funds are accumulating, and a continuation trend often follows.

**Second is trend driven by news**. After key policy announcements or major events, the market usually moves in one direction for a period. During this time, it’s not about guessing but about following the market’s pulse and riding the main force’s rhythm.

**Third is resonance across technical indicators**. Multiple timeframes’ indicators point in the same direction, such as key moving averages on the 4-hour, daily, and weekly charts forming support or resistance. This multi-timeframe resonance often indicates a more reliable trend.

## When you act, be as ruthless as necessary

What is the purpose of waiting? It’s to make a splash at that critical moment. When the opportunity truly appears, your job is not to test the waters or be hesitant.

When I say "ruthless," I don’t mean encouraging you to go all-in, but rather: since you’ve confirmed the opportunity, you should take enough position to realize this judgment. If you’re still hesitating about "adding a bit more," it means you haven’t thought it through. Uncertainty means you shouldn’t act; once you decide to act, you must have execution power.

This is also why stories of sudden wealth and tragedies of liquidation are concentrated in the contract market—because leverage amplifies your psychology and execution.

## The final word

Don’t rely on any indicator formulas blindly, and don’t believe anyone who claims they can predict the market consistently. The essence of profitability is: when the odds favor you, bet big; when uncertain, do nothing. It sounds simple, but actually doing it requires years of discipline. Those who persist ultimately make money.