2025-12-31 06:27:23

The latest signals from the Federal Reserve have sparked heated discussions in the market. Official forecasts show that only one rate cut is planned by 2026, but the market's reaction varies greatly—investors generally bet on more frequent rate cuts.

The key issue lies in the leadership transition. As the current chair's term is coming to an end, the policy stance of the new chair will directly influence the global liquidity environment. What does this mean for the crypto market? Simply put, a rate cut cycle means lower funding costs, which historically tends to boost risk assets—including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, which are highly volatile.

Currently, the market is showing a tug-of-war between two forces: the dovish camp advocates for aggressive rate cuts to stimulate the economy, while the hawks worry about inflation rebound and prefer to keep interest rates high. The outcome of this contest will set the tone for the crypto market in 2026. Some believe that once a rate cut expectation is established, tokenized assets may open a new allocation window. However, all of this depends on clear statements from the new chair after taking office. What do you think about this situation?

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fren_with_benefits

· 15h ago

The Federal Reserve says one rate cut, the market bets on more cuts... This spread is the opportunity, we'll know who wins only after the new chair arrives.

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HashBandit

· 15h ago

ngl the fed's playing 4d chess while we're all just refreshing charts lmao... one cut in 2026? traders are already pricing in like five. classic fed move, say one thing do another. either way, if liquidity floods in my gas fees are gonna be INSANE but honestly that's when the real alpha happens. new chair gonna make or break this whole thing fr

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SnapshotStriker

· 15h ago

Regarding the expectation of interest rate cuts, the market and the Federal Reserve's rhetoric are so different, indicating that everyone is betting that the new chair will be more dovish. Whether Bitcoin will take off this time depends on liquidity. The historical pattern is right there. But waiting for the new chair to take office is all talk now. Going all in at this point is too risky.

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SignatureDenied

· 15h ago

The Federal Reserve's approach: they said they would cut interest rates once, but the market is betting on more cuts. It's a typical case of saying one thing and doing another. Anyway, during the power transition period, no one dares to make a clear stance. It'll all be settled once the new chair takes office.

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OffchainOracle

· 15h ago

The Federal Reserve's one move versus the market expecting multiple moves—this gap is quite significant... The new chair's approach will directly determine the fate of the crypto world; it's a bit hard to hold back.

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Gm_Gn_Merchant

· 15h ago

The official says once, the market bets more times... This gap is a bit outrageous. The key is how the new chairman will handle things when they take over.

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Ramen_Until_Rich

· 15h ago

One official move, multiple market bets—this gap is too outrageous... If the new chairperson leans dovish, it would be really awesome, and Bitcoin could take off at any moment.

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