#美联储回购协议计划 In contract trading, many people are stuck in an eternal dilemma: follow their intuition or rely on technology?

It seems like two paths, but actually both are pitfalls.

Traders who rely solely on gut feeling always hear a voice inside. When market fluctuations happen in a second, their mind starts playing movies—Did I see this wrong? Should I stick to the original plan? Adjusting positions again and again, small tweaks accumulate, and the account is like being cut apart by the Grim Reaper’s paper—it's not a crash, but a slow erosion.

But pure technical analysis isn't a safe box either. No matter how sophisticated the indicator system, it can't prevent a black swan event. Stop-loss orders are wiped out, positions are cleared, and then you watch the price continue in your original direction. The mental breakdown at that moment is the true beginning of trouble.

Next, almost everyone falls into the same trap. Not willing to give up, wanting to recover losses; making more aggressive trades, increasing leverage; gradually loosening judgment logic, resulting in chaos.

On the surface, it seems like insufficient technical skills, but in reality, you've already jumped out of your own rhythm.

The answer to this problem isn't whether you use candlestick charts or rely on intuition. The real threshold is: do you have a trading framework that you can stick to consistently?

This framework must meet two points.

First, when losing money, you can stay calm and not be driven by panic. Second, during market upheavals, you don't need to make a bunch of new decisions on the spot; the rules are clear enough to run automatically.

If every trade is a spontaneous decision, with no boundaries and no fixed rhythm, then trading contracts will only drain your energy more and more.

Failed traders are never because they are not smart. They fail because they haven't established a trading discipline that makes them feel secure. People who can make money are not necessarily smarter, but they can execute their original plan under immense pressure.

If you are still wavering, overthinking before placing an order, and constantly regretting after, the answer is very clear—it's not that the market is too complicated, but that your trading logic hasn't truly stabilized.

Going solo will eventually lead to a crash. Having a clear direction is the only way to move steadily.

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