What exactly is a prediction market? A single chart to help you understand quickly.
In simple terms, a prediction market is a platform that allows users to invest or trade based on their judgments about future events. From political elections and sports competitions to cryptocurrency market trends, almost any uncertain event can become a prediction target.
The core logic of prediction markets is straightforward: if you have an opinion on the outcome of an event, you can buy related prediction shares. When the event occurs, your shares become valuable; if it goes the other way, you incur a loss. The more market participants there are, the more accurate the price signals become, which is why prediction markets are considered effective tools for discovering true probabilities.
This sector has seen many innovative projects emerge. Some focus on native on-chain experiences, some specialize in specific sectors (like crypto or sports), and others innovate on liquidity mechanisms. Regardless, these projects are exploring new ways to drive information aggregation through economic incentives.
For users, participating in prediction markets is both a test of judgment and a source of profit. For the ecosystem, these applications enrich the dimensions of Web3 and push the boundaries of decentralized finance.
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RektButStillHere
· 10h ago
Basically, it's gambling, just in a more sophisticated way.
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Prediction markets? Sounds like a probability game, making money depends on luck and information advantage.
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Can this thing truly discover the "real probability"? I doubt it, it's still just manipulated prices by big players.
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It's interesting, but liquidity is definitely a tough problem.
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Another track where retail investors pay tuition has arrived.
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On-chain native experience sounds good, but I'm worried it will just be overly complex and nobody will actually use it.
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I just want to know how high the probability of losing money is.
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MoneyBurnerSociety
· 10h ago
Damn, it's the prediction market again. Isn't this just my new battleground for steady losses?
Judgment validation? Bro, my judgment has already been clearly validated by the liquidation price.
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HodlVeteran
· 10h ago
Bro, let me tell you, this thing is just an advanced version of gambling... no, it's the "Crowdfunding Truth" [dog head]
Another new story of "information aggregation," sounds like what those dead projects in 2018 used to say?
Participation is okay, but don't go all-in, that's a quick way to lose money.
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ChainMelonWatcher
· 10h ago
Basically, it's just betting the future with money. Anyway, I don't believe in those so-called "true probabilities."
What exactly is a prediction market? A single chart to help you understand quickly.
In simple terms, a prediction market is a platform that allows users to invest or trade based on their judgments about future events. From political elections and sports competitions to cryptocurrency market trends, almost any uncertain event can become a prediction target.
The core logic of prediction markets is straightforward: if you have an opinion on the outcome of an event, you can buy related prediction shares. When the event occurs, your shares become valuable; if it goes the other way, you incur a loss. The more market participants there are, the more accurate the price signals become, which is why prediction markets are considered effective tools for discovering true probabilities.
This sector has seen many innovative projects emerge. Some focus on native on-chain experiences, some specialize in specific sectors (like crypto or sports), and others innovate on liquidity mechanisms. Regardless, these projects are exploring new ways to drive information aggregation through economic incentives.
For users, participating in prediction markets is both a test of judgment and a source of profit. For the ecosystem, these applications enrich the dimensions of Web3 and push the boundaries of decentralized finance.