#数字资产市场动态 The Bank of Japan is at it again. Governor Ueda Kazuo has spoken, and they will continue to raise interest rates—this time pushing the rate to the highest in 30 years. Look, while central banks worldwide are cutting rates, Japan’s central bank is doing the opposite. What kind of logic is this?
**What is the real reason behind the rate hike?**
Simply put, it’s about prices. Inflation is rising quite rapidly, and the central bank believes that, given current economic and inflation trends, continuing to raise rates is highly probable. This time, the decision was unanimous, showing a very firm stance. However, the governor didn’t rule out the possibility of changing course; after the hike, market liquidity remains ample, acting as a reassurance to the market.
**What will happen to $BTC, $ZBT, and other crypto assets?**
First, Japan has completely bid farewell to decades of ultra-low interest rates. Global liquidity is tightening again. This means the flow of hot money might need to be redistributed.
Second, how will the yen perform? In theory, rate hikes support yen appreciation. But don’t forget, the Federal Reserve is cutting rates. With opposing policies, the USD/JPY exchange rate could experience significant volatility. The traditional carry trade logic is being broken, which has substantial implications for market structure.
Third, the market will become more complex. Divergence in central bank policies worldwide is becoming more pronounced—each country is taking its own path. As a result, the simple logic of "liquidity injection equals a bull market" no longer holds. Variables facing $BTC and the entire crypto market are increasing, and volatility may become the new normal.
**So, what should we do?**
Stop obsessing over whether it’s a bull market. The market is changing, risks are changing, and opportunities are changing. The key is your own ability to adapt to these changes. The "black swan" event from the Bank of Japan has already taken flight—are your positions and strategies ready?
What are your thoughts? How long will the impact of this rate hike last? Let’s discuss together.
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DefiOldTrickster
· 5h ago
Haha, the carry trade has collapsed. I’ve been doing this in Japan for 20 years, and now it's the new rookies who are losing out. The interest rate differential between Japan and the US has evened out, and the annualized return is gone. This is the real black swan.
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ruggedSoBadLMAO
· 10h ago
The Bank of Japan is really exceptional, forcing itself to become an outlier through reverse operations. The carry trade logic has collapsed, does that mean BTC will have to follow as a sacrificial lamb?
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MeaninglessGwei
· 10h ago
The Bank of Japan's recent actions are indeed outrageous. While the rest of the world is easing monetary policy, they are going against the trend and contradicting expectations. After so many years of carry trade logic, it’s really a bit unexpected and caught us off guard.
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DarkPoolWatcher
· 10h ago
The Bank of Japan is really engaging in reverse operations; while others are easing liquidity, it's tightening, which is quite a paradox.
But honestly, this impact on the crypto market might be much bigger than it appears on the surface. I agree that the carry trade has been disrupted; it used to rely heavily on yen arbitrage.
Let's wait and see how the USD/JPY exchange rate plays out—that's the real show.
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tx_pending_forever
· 10h ago
Japan's reverse operation this time is truly outrageous. While the whole world is easing monetary policy, it's tightening instead. I really can't understand this logic.
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VirtualRichDream
· 10h ago
The Bank of Japan's move is quite bold; while the world is easing monetary policy, it is actually raising interest rates... This carry trade is truly about to be reshuffled.
#数字资产市场动态 The Bank of Japan is at it again. Governor Ueda Kazuo has spoken, and they will continue to raise interest rates—this time pushing the rate to the highest in 30 years. Look, while central banks worldwide are cutting rates, Japan’s central bank is doing the opposite. What kind of logic is this?
**What is the real reason behind the rate hike?**
Simply put, it’s about prices. Inflation is rising quite rapidly, and the central bank believes that, given current economic and inflation trends, continuing to raise rates is highly probable. This time, the decision was unanimous, showing a very firm stance. However, the governor didn’t rule out the possibility of changing course; after the hike, market liquidity remains ample, acting as a reassurance to the market.
**What will happen to $BTC, $ZBT, and other crypto assets?**
First, Japan has completely bid farewell to decades of ultra-low interest rates. Global liquidity is tightening again. This means the flow of hot money might need to be redistributed.
Second, how will the yen perform? In theory, rate hikes support yen appreciation. But don’t forget, the Federal Reserve is cutting rates. With opposing policies, the USD/JPY exchange rate could experience significant volatility. The traditional carry trade logic is being broken, which has substantial implications for market structure.
Third, the market will become more complex. Divergence in central bank policies worldwide is becoming more pronounced—each country is taking its own path. As a result, the simple logic of "liquidity injection equals a bull market" no longer holds. Variables facing $BTC and the entire crypto market are increasing, and volatility may become the new normal.
**So, what should we do?**
Stop obsessing over whether it’s a bull market. The market is changing, risks are changing, and opportunities are changing. The key is your own ability to adapt to these changes. The "black swan" event from the Bank of Japan has already taken flight—are your positions and strategies ready?
What are your thoughts? How long will the impact of this rate hike last? Let’s discuss together.