2025-12-25 05:26:22

Many people in the crypto world suffer losses, but most are defeated by the same issue—lack of disciplined execution. My four-step method of "mechanical execution + compound interest rolling" has been tested in real trading, and the win rate can indeed reach a certain level. Sharing it with everyone.

**First Trick: Target Strong Momentum Assets**

Not all coins are worth trading. When the daily MACD forms a golden cross above the zero line, that’s the real signal of a bullish trend. Historical backtests show that after this condition appears, the success rate is about 68%. Taking Ethereum in April 2024 as an example, after the water-side golden cross, it ran for a full 3 weeks, with nearly 40% gains, outperforming the market by more than double. Conversely, golden crosses below the zero line are often traps set by the main players to lure in traders, and beginners are most likely to get caught here.

**Second Trick: The 20-Day Moving Average is the Life and Death Line**

If the price stays above the 20-day moving average, it’s a sign to attack; if it falls below, unconditional liquidation is necessary. This line essentially marks the boundary between bull and bear markets. Once broken, it indicates the main players are retreating, and stubbornly holding on will only cause trouble.

**Third Trick: Position Size Should Be Disciplined**

Full position should only be considered when "price and volume simultaneously break through the moving average" (for example, BTC surging past $60,000 with high volume). At other times, try a 50/50 split to test the waters. Don’t be greedy with profits—take out one-third after a 40% rise, another third at 80%, and let the rest follow the trend. Once the price falls below the moving average, immediately stop trading.

**Fourth Trick: Stop Loss is Like Breathing**

If the line is broken, get out—don’t think about "waiting and watching"—that’s the root of liquidation. Statistics show that 87% of liquidations are caused by this kind of wishful thinking. Even if the price rebounds the next day after breaking the line, don’t regret it, because discipline is far more important than single-trade gains.

Ultimately, the core logic of making money in the crypto space boils down to four words: position control and discipline. Avoid greed and luck, and those who trade steadily will eventually double their investments.

ETH0.59%

BTC1.04%

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NFTHoarder

· 11h ago

Discipline is easy to talk about but hard to practice. I've fallen for greed more than once myself. The 20-day moving average trick is really effective, but it's easy to get soft. A 68% win rate... sounds good, but what do you do during the remaining 32%? I've never dared to go all-in; it's too intense. The key is still execution. I understand the techniques, but no one can truly stick to discipline.

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LuckyBlindCat

· 12h ago

That's right, it's all about dying from greed. I was trapped like this last year. Thinking of rebounding and picking up cheap coins after breaking the support line, but it directly blew up my account. Discipline sounds simple, but it's really hard to stick to, especially when watching the coins rise. This method looks good, but the key is whether you can really follow through. Stop-loss is the hardest; if you can't get past the mindset, all indicators are useless.

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Rugman_Walking

· 12h ago

Sounds good, but I feel like we've all heard this set of ideas n times... The key is how many people can stick with it? --- 20-day moving average life-and-death line? Alright, I just want to ask, do we exclude situations where the price rebounds after breaking the level? --- Trying a 50-50 position feels stable, but in reality, it’s still governed by psychology. When losing, everyone damn wants to hold on and endure. --- I agree with the idea of exiting when breaking the line, but the problem is, after most people break it and then see a rebound the next day, how many can resist chasing in? --- A 68% win rate sounds pretty good, but what about the remaining 32%? That’s the real test. --- So basically, you still have to be ruthless—be tough on yourself, and stick to disciplined execution. --- This methodology isn’t a big problem; the hard part is not being tempted by the market. The promised stop-profit and stop-loss are really hard to implement properly. --- I’m a bit curious about compound interest rolling over. Can you share how exactly you operate? It feels like each time the expected increase is quite subjective.

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FlatTax

· 12h ago

That's right, it's about discipline, but hearing this sounds just like what someone who lost 50% a month ago would say. Breaking the line and then leaving—it's not that easy. Everyone says wait for the rebound to take another look, but in the end, you're trapped for a month. A 68% win rate sounds great, but in practice, it's that 32% of losing trades that keep coming back to haunt you. Why not talk about how many times in this year the market reversed the very next day after breaking the line, causing your mindset to collapse?

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faded_wojak.eth

· 13h ago

Never hold the 20-day moving average when it breaks; I truly believe in this point. It sounds good, but in practice, it's a battle between discipline and human nature. Most people still lose to greed. It sounds simple, but executing it is really difficult... I often lose my principal in the lucky hope of "waiting a bit longer." A 68% win rate sounds good, but the 87% liquidation data is even more heartbreaking... Everyone still tends to overestimate the rebound. Honestly following the moving averages is more reliable than betting on a bottom. This approach is fine, but the key question is how many people can truly see through and walk away? Most want to gamble on the last wave.

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