2025-12-25 04:27:42

$LIGHT can currently be tested with small amounts, but the real opportunity window should be around the Spring Festival. The Christmas season market fluctuations are not significant, and the more obvious rebound period will be around February.

From recent market observations, there is an interesting phenomenon: when the market is hot, the issuance of new tokens is very rapid; conversely, the speed of new token listings on major exchanges has recently slowed down. The underlying logic is quite simple—project teams are waiting for the right moment. Because in the current environment, once a new token is listed, it faces downward pressure, so the listing pace naturally slows down. When the market truly warms up, new tokens will appear daily like dishes in a cafeteria, indicating that the market has already picked up.

Historical data confirms this: a market rally started around the National Day on September 25. Based on this cycle, the start of the Spring Festival market should be around February 11. By that time, new token investments will become particularly critical—whenever a new token is listed, continue buying and hold until the Spring Festival. This includes new tokens in the spot market, as well as projects in the futures sector and the Alpha community. The holding period is roughly one month.

Why will there definitely be a market rally during the Spring Festival? Essentially, it’s a matter of time cost. The Spring Festival holiday lasts at least 5 days, and can be up to two weeks. After everyone has free time, playing mahjong and video games are just ways to pass the time, but people in the crypto circle are still focused on virtual assets. During long holidays, market participation increases, naturally leading to a market rally. The same principle applies to National Day.

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MEVHunterX

· 11h ago

The Spring Festival market logic sounds good, but it depends on whether the launch pace of new coins really shows signs of warming up. Wait, can this logic also be reverse-engineered? The slowdown in exchange listings actually indicates that things are not quite there yet. Trying a small amount with LIGHT is okay, but don't go all-in with this idea. Let's see how February unfolds. The comparison between the National Day wave and the Spring Festival cycle is a bit forced; the market environment is too different. The phrase "people are focused on virtual assets" is spot on. After losing at mahjong during the Spring Festival, they keep playing with coins, haha. New coins are like dishes coming out of the cafeteria—it's the real starting signal. Right now, it still looks a bit cold. February 11th is a very specific date, but I'm more concerned about whether the liquidity will truly loosen after the New Year. Holding a position for a month requires mental preparation for potential losses at any time.

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MetaverseVagabond

· 11h ago

Small-scale positioning before the Spring Festival, waiting for the February window. I agree with this logic. The discussion about cafeteria dishes is quite interesting haha. The new coin cycle really can reflect market sentiment. On February 11th, we need to keep a close eye on the projects in the Alpha community. We made a profit during the National Day wave, and it feels like the preparations for the Spring Festival are almost complete. The key is to have patience and hold on. A one-month cycle isn't too long.

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AlwaysMissingTops

· 11h ago

This wave before the Spring Festival is indeed worth laying low; the cafeteria serving analogy is spot on, haha. The speed of new coin launches can reflect market sentiment, and I accept this logic. Wait, if we start counting from February 11th, is it really time to start building positions now? Waiting for the wave during the Spring Festival—everyone being idle is actually the best opportunity to get in. But to be honest, historical patterns are useful but also prone to failure. Small-scale testing is the wise choice.

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HashRateHustler

· 11h ago

The period before the Spring Festival is indeed an opportunity window, but jumping in on LIGHT now feels a bit early. --- The slowdown in new coin listings is a brilliant observation and truly reflects the market sentiment. --- I remember that point on February 11th, time to buy the dip on new coins. --- When I have free time, I start monitoring the market; I guess this is our fate haha. --- The analogy of the cafeteria serving dishes is so fitting—when the market heats up, new coins flood in. --- Five days of holiday just passed by staring at the screen; the family is already used to it. --- Historical cycles do have patterns; it all depends on whether you can hit the right timing. --- Holding positions for a month from the Spring Festival to the New Year—this rhythm I like. --- I really caught the wave during National Day, and I’m even more looking forward to this Spring Festival. --- Buying new coins now feels like walking into a trap; I think I’ll wait and see.

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GasGoblin

· 11h ago

The idea of the Spring Festival window is okay, but the logic is a bit too idealistic, old brother. --- Is slowing new coins a sign of poor market conditions? I've heard this explanation quite a lot. --- Waiting until February to get in feels a bit late, afraid it will be chasing highs again. --- Mahjong and coins, I bet coins will win. --- Using the National Day cycle to backtrack to the Spring Festival... Relying on this historical pattern is really uncertain; the market isn't a clock. --- Trying it out is fine, but don't go all in on new coins, everyone. --- The logic of market activity during holidays does hold water; people love to play around when they're free.

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ProxyCollector

· 11h ago

The Spring Festival window discussion is back again; it feels like someone says this every year. Wait, the signal of the new coin launch slowing down is still somewhat interesting. I’ve noted the level at February 11th; let’s see how it goes then.

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