People often ask, with so many cryptocurrencies out there, how do I choose? When should I enter, and when should I exit?

Honestly, I don’t have any secret weapons, nor do I aim for pinpoint accuracy. I follow four simple words: Trend, Discipline.

This approach won’t make you rich overnight, but it can help you avoid many pitfalls. That’s my logic—

Every time I analyze the market, the first step isn’t to focus on technical indicators, but to find "coins with warmth."

I scan the recent one or two weeks’ top gainers, paying special attention to those just starting to move, with increased volatility and significantly higher trading volume. Where funds are flowing in, there’s a story; coins that are stagnant, no matter how cheap, I won’t touch.

As for sense of direction, the intraday ups and downs generally don’t affect me much. What truly changes your fate is the trend on the monthly chart.

When the monthly MACD shows a bullish crossover, I add it to my key watchlist. This step is clear: the big ship has already set sail, now it’s about finding the right moment to board.

Once the main direction is confirmed, I switch to daily charts for observation. At this point, the 60-day moving average becomes my most important line.

If the price pulls back to this level, stabilizes, and volume cooperates, I’ll seriously consider building a position. Buying here isn’t cheap, but there’s clear support below, giving me confidence.

Rules must be two-way. If the 60-day line is effectively broken, I exit. No dragging things out, no storytelling. Making money or not is a minor matter; the most important thing is protecting the principal, and the next opportunity will come naturally.

Regarding profit-taking, I never get greedy. When unrealized gains reach a certain level, I reduce my position in stages: first lock in some profits, and hold the rest as "trial positions." This approach feels more secure and reduces fear of retracement.

Some may say this process is too conservative or mechanical. But after being in this circle for a long time, I understand a truth:

Making money depends on probability; surviving depends on a system.

Those rules that can be坚持执行 (persistently follow) are far more valuable than one or two sudden surges. The market moves quickly now, and what you need isn’t precise prediction of every step, but to follow the right direction, with the right rhythm, and do the right things.