The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in January is as high as 84.5%. What is the potential impact on BTC's subsequent trend? In the context of clear interest rate policies, Bitcoin's performance as a risk asset warrants continued attention. The current market has largely digested the Fed's policy expectations, but whether other variables will emerge remains to be seen.

BTC1.43%
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AirdropJunkievip
· 13h ago
84.5% probability? Feels like another game of chance; anyway, BTC still has to fall if it's going to fall.
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BridgeJumpervip
· 13h ago
84.5% chance unchanged? That means it's already settled. Now we just need to see what the Fed's next move will be.
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FundingMartyrvip
· 13h ago
84.5%? Don't joke around. Everything is probabilistic now, and when it comes to critical moments, it still ends up crashing the market.
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FrogInTheWellvip
· 13h ago
84.5% probability? Isn't that a sure thing? There's no suspense left with the Federal Reserve. Instead, I want to see if there will be other variables to cause trouble later on. Now that most of it has been digested, it's easier to be caught off guard by other news.
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Layer2Arbitrageurvip
· 14h ago
lmao 84.5% is just a number until you actually run the delta hedge math. btc's not moving on fed rate holds anymore, that ship sailed. the real arb is watching what happens to basis points between spot and perpetuals when the announcement drops.
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MEVSandwichMakervip
· 14h ago
84.5% already settled, how can BTC still move? The key depends on whether the Federal Reserve will launch another surprise attack.
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