Every year, the market fluctuations around Christmas can be dramatically reenacted, and 2025 is no exception. Instead of blindly guessing short-term rises and falls, it's better to master some practical strategies. As someone focused on market analysis, I want to share three particularly useful tips during this special period.

**First: Don't treat seasonality as an edict**

The data shows—average returns throughout December have historically exceeded 9%, but if you only try to bottom fish during the Christmas week, the average return is just 1.3%. Doing the math, the high risk for such a small gain isn't worth it. Seasonality patterns are like background music; they can explain why liquidity tends to worsen and volatility increases at year-end, but they are not the sole reason to bet. The real drivers of market trends are macroeconomic conditions, capital flows, and unexpected events. Honestly, my habit is to include seasonality factors in my decision-making checklist, but they account for no more than 10% of the weight.

**Second: During holidays, prioritize risk prevention before thinking about making money**

The most painful issue during Christmas holidays is one word—lack. Many European and American traders leave the market, market makers tighten quotes, and market depth immediately thins out. In this "low liquidity" environment, even slightly larger orders can trigger intense volatility. The primary task at this time isn't chasing gains or losses, but managing liquidity of positions to ensure you can exit when it matters most.